PPP's first poll of the 2014 elections in New Mexico finds both Susana Martinez and Tom Udall leading by margins similar to what they won by when they were elected in the first place.
Martinez was elected Governor 53-47 in 2010, and we find her leading challenger Gary King 47-42. Martinez has a 52/40 approval rating, largely consistent with where we've found her since she took office. She overcomes the strong Democratic advantage in the state by winning independents almost 2:1 at 53/27, and getting 24% crossover support from Democrats.
Martinez has wider leads over all the rest of the Democrats in the race. It's 11 points over Lawrence Rael at 47/36, 14 points over Howie Morales and Linda Lopez at 48/34 and 50/36 respectively, and 16 points over Alan Webber at 48/32.
King starts out as the pretty strong favorite to be the Democratic nominee though. He leads the primary field by over 20 points, getting 34% right now to 15% for Morales, 13% for Lopez, 7% for Rael, and 5% for Webber. The race isn't over by any means- 27% of voters remain undecided- but it's a pretty substantial early advantage.
Tom Udall was elected by 22 points in 2008, and he starts out with leads in the 20-22 point range against both of his potential GOP opponents for this fall. He's up 53/33 on Allen Weh, and 55/33 on David Clements. Udall sports a 52/33 approval rating, which puts him in the 80th percentile for popularity of all the Senators we've polled on nationally. His large leads are a product of mostly holding onto the Democratic base while leading by double digits with independents and also getting around 20% of the Republican vote across party lines.
PPP's final New Mexico poll in 2012, which found party ID at 52% Democrats and 31% Republicans, found Barack Obama winning the state by 9 points. A PPP poll in December 2011, which found party ID at 52% Democrats and 29% Republicans, found Martin Heinrich leading Heather Wilson by 7 points. That poll was thoroughly attacked by the Republican Party, Heinrich won the race by a similar margin. This poll finds registered voters in New Mexico identifying as 50% Democrats and 28% Republicans, consistent with what our past polls in the state have found.
Full results here