PPP's newest Kansas poll finds that Sam Brownback has continued to become even more unpopular in the last year, and that he slightly trails his Democratic opponent for reelection. Only 33% of voters in the state approve of the job Brownback is doing, compared to 51% who disapprove. That's down from a 37/52 spread when PPP last polled the state a year ago. It's not surprising that Brownback is doing poorly with independents (33/51) or Democrats (10/76) but what really drags his numbers down is that even Republicans aren't particularly enthusiastic about him, with just 46% approving to 37% who disapprove.
Brownback trails Democratic challenger Paul Davis for reelection by a 42/40 margin. Davis isn't particularly well known- only 41% of voters have an opinion about him one way or the other- so those numbers are more a referendum on Brownback than anything else. Davis leads largely because he is winning 23% of the GOP vote, a large amount of crossover support in this polarized political climate, while only 11% of Democrats plan to vote for Brownback.
There are a few big issues causing Brownback trouble. Only 26% of voters in the state think his much heralded tax plan has been a success, compared to 47% who feel it hasn't been. And voters are also at odds with Brownback on education funding. 59% of voters in the state think the schools are inadequately funded, compared to 31% who think they receive enough state money, and by a 59/29 spread they want the Kansas Supreme Court to rule that funding has to be increased. Brownback's even losing his party on this issue- 47% of Republicans want the Supreme Court to require more education funding to 40% who are opposed.
Pat Roberts has seen his net approval rating decline 12 points over the last year, in the wake of news media reports that he spends little time in the state. In February of 2013 we found him on slightly positive ground at a 31/28 spread, but now only 29% of voters approve of him compared to 38% who disapprove. Roberts doesn't appear to be at too much risk of losing his seat to a Democrat though. He leads Chad Taylor 48/32 in a hypothetical contest and on the off chance the state's most well known Democrat, Kathleen Sebelius, were to make a Senate bid she would trail Roberts 52/38. Sebelius' time in the Obama administration has badly hurt her popularity back at home- she has a 38/55 favorability rating now.
Wolf leads Taylor only 33/32 in a hypothetical contest, so Democrats might have a shred of a chance in the general election if Roberts loses the nomination. But it seems likely that at the end of the day Barack Obama's 34/60 approval spread in the state could preclude any hope the party has of sending someone to Washington.
Full results here