In the wake of Mike Michaud's announcement last week that he is gay...pretty much nothing has changed in the Maine Governor's race. Michaud holds a narrow 38/36 lead over Paul LePage that's little different from the narrow 39/35 lead he had over LePage when we last polled the state in August. Michaud has a 51% favorability rating, that's little different from his 53% favorability rating on the last poll. And 71% of voters in the state say they don't care one way or another about Michaud's sexuality with those who say it does make a difference pretty closely split between saying it makes them more likely to support Michaud (12%) or less likely to (15%).
The overall big story in the Maine Governor's race continues to be the progressive split that could let Paul LePage eke out reelection despite being one of the most unpopular Governors in the country. Only 41% of voters approve of the job LePage is doing to 54% who disapprove, making him the 8th most unpopular Governor we've polled on.
Those numbers would have him doomed for reelection in a two way race and LePage trails Michaud 53/39 and Cutler 49/38 in head to head contests. But Cutler's 15% support in a three way contest, pulled almost entirely from people who voted for Barack Obama last year and dislike LePage, is enough to still keep the contest as a toss up despite the incumbent's unpopularity.
Besides the progressive split there is one other good piece of news for Paul LePage in this poll. Barack Obama now has an upside down approval rating in the state at 46/49. Obama was unpopular in Maine in 2010 too, and that helped create the climate where LePage was able to be elected in the first place.
Full results here