PPP's newest Illinois poll finds that the race for Governor next year is a toss up. Pat Quinn continues to be one of the most unpopular Governors in the country, but the Democratic lean of the state is enough to still make him neck and neck in hypothetical contests with the Republicans vying to take him on next fall.
Only 34% of voters approve of the job Quinn is doing to 60% who disapprove. That ties him for the third most unpopular Governor in the country. That's actually an improvement for Quinn though- his numbers are up from a 25/64 approval spread a year ago at this time, which had made him the most unpopular Governor anywhere. He's seen a little bit of improvement with Democrats, Republicans, and independents alike.
In match ups with his potential GOP foes Quinn leads Bruce Rauner 41/38, trails Dan Rutherford 41/39, and ties both Bill Brady and Kirk Dillard at 41% and 39% respectively. Quinn trails by 4-7 points with independents and loses 13-15% of the Democratic vote in each of the match ups.
Just out of curiosity we tested to see how some other Democrats would fare against Rutherford, and although they do better than Quinn it looks like this race would be competitive no matter who the Democrats put forward next year. Lisa Madigan would lead Rutherford by 5 points at 45/40, Rahm Emanuel would lead him by 2 at 40/38, and Dan Hynes would be tied at 34.
Dick Durbin appears to be in pretty good shape for reelection. He has a 46/40 approval rating and leads his potential Republican opponents by anywhere from 15 to 18 points. It's 51/36 over Jim Oberweis, 52/35 over Chad Koppie, and 51/33 over Doug Truax. Oberweis is a pretty strong favorite in the Republican primary with 42% and none of the other candidates polling over 7%. 42% also remain undecided.
Barack Obama's numbers in Illinois really help exemplify the extent to which he's struggling everywhere right now. He's only on narrowly positive ground in his home state with 50% of voters approving of him to 46% who disapprove.
Full results here