Tom Corbett's situation has gone from bad to worse in the eight months since PPP last polled Pennsylvania. Corbett is now the most unpopular Governor anywhere in the country that we've polled, with only 24% of voters approving of him to 65% who disapprove. It's gotten to the point where Corbett's numbers are even upside down with Republicans, only 37% of whom approve of him with 51% disapproving.
Corbett already trailed his potential Democratic opponents by 7 to 11 points in March but those deficits have increased to 12-20 points now. He trails Jack Wagner by 20 (50/30), John Hanger by 19 (51/32), Rob McCord by 19 (50/31), Allyson Schwartz by 15 (48/33), Katie McGinty by 15 (47/32), Ed Pawlowski by 12 (45/33), and Tom Wolf by 12 (44/32). All of the Democrats win at least 23% of the Republican vote, and take independents by at least 22 points.
There's not much doubt Republicans would be better off with a different candidate. We also tested Schwartz in hypothetical match ups with GOP Congressmen Jim Gerlach and Mike Kelly. Despite each having only around 30% name recognition statewide, they each do 7 points better in a head to head than Corbett. Gerlach trails 39/31 and Kelly has a 41/33 deficit. Corbett has poisoned the well enough for Republicans that they'd start out at a disadvantage even with a different candidate, but they'd at least be in a range where they might be able to come back.
Things are pretty wide open when it comes to the Democratic primary for Governor. The leader is undecided, with 27% of voters unsure on who they want the nominee to be. Allyson Schwartz gets 21% to 17% for Jack Wagner, 10% for Rob McCord, 9% for Katie McGinty, 8% for John Hanger, 4% for Ed Pawlowski, and 2% each for Tom Wolf, JoEllen Litz, and Max Myers. With support split so many ways and so many voters undecided even someone like Wolf could come back to win given how important money and the ability to communicate statewide will be.
Things are looking great for Democrats in this race and it seems that as long as Corbett stays in the race they'll probably continue to.
Full results here