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November 05, 2013


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The only poll that really matters is the one on election day, but Wendy Davis has a unique set of challenges in Texas. She is a particularly liberal candidate in a state without a particularly high percentage of liberals, according to various scorecards and legislative vote histories organizations have put together. She is particularly well-known for filibustering on behalf of late-term abortion in a state that is particularly pro-life. She is having a particularly tough time raising money inside of Texas, relative to her big hauls from deep blue states. She has been a particularly vocal supporter of Obamacare expansion in a particularly bad political environment for Obamacare supporters. Up and down the line, Wendy Davis will have an exceedingly difficult time gaining any traction in the race. Meanwhile, her likely GOP opponent has a track record Texans like, the ability to raise large sums of money, and a great deal of discipline. Moreover, Texans like Texas. They like the Texas success story. They understand it. It's in the pop culture here, that Texas is outperforming the nation, and the cause is usually attributed to our politics and policy environment. It's hard imagining Texans just throwing all of that out to try something completely different-- something that looks like the dysfunction in California or Chicago or Washington, D.C.


That is not an encouraging trend-line for Ms. Davis.

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