Raleigh, N.C. – PPP’s newest Minnesota poll finds that Senator Al Franken’s numbers remain strong entering his reelection campaign in 2014, while Governor Mark Dayton holds a ten point lead over potential Republican challengers who are struggling to gain traction.
Franken’s approval rating among registered voters in Minnesota is at 51/43; almost identical to his 51/42 approval rating from our last polls in May. The senator consistently leads would-be opponents Jim Abeler 50-39, Chris Dahlberg 49-39, Mike McFadden 49-38, Julianne Ortman 49-37 and Monti Moreno 49-36.
Mark Dayton’s numbers are also constant, and still strong, since our polling in May. The governor’s approval rating is currently 48/42, compared to 49/47 in the spring. Dayton sports a steady 10 or 11 point lead over Republican challengers Scott Honour 48-38, Jeff Johnson 48-37, Julie Rosen 48-36, Marty Seifert 48-37, Dave Thompson 48-37 and Kurt Zellers 48-38.
PPP's newest Minnesota poll finds both Al Franken and Mark Dayton leading by double digits for reelection, with Republican voters unsure who they want to nominate for the Senate and Governor next year.
Franken has a 51% approval rating, with 43% of voters disapproving of him. Those numbers are nearly identical to PPP's last poll of the state in May when he was at 51/42. Franken is at 49 or 50% against all of his potential GOP opponents, and leads them by anywhere from 10 to 13 points. It's 49/39 against Chris Dahlberg, 49/38 against Mike McFadden, 50/39 against Jim Abeler, 49/37 against Julianne Ortman, and 49/36 against Monti Moreno.
McFadden and Ortman are polling a little closer to Franken than they were in May, when they trailed by 15 and 17 points respectively. And because none of the Republicans have better than 25% name recognition there's potential for them to pull closer as they become better known. But for now Franken's in a pretty strong position.
There is no front runner in the Republican race for Senate. 53% say they're unsure on who they want their candidate to be. Abeler and Ortman are each at 12%, followed by McFadden at 11%, Dahlberg at 10% and Moreno at 2%.
Turning toward the Governor's race, Mark Dayton has a 48% approval rating with 42% of voters disapproving of him. He's also polling at 48% in head to heads with all of his prospective Republican foes, and leads them by margins ranging from 10 to 12 points. It's 48/38 over Scott Honour and Kurt Zellers, 48/37 over Jeff Johnson, Marty Seifert, and Dave Thompson, and 48/36 over Julie Rosen.
Dayton led these Republicans by 16 to 18 points in match ups when we polled the state in May, so like the Senate race this has tightened some in the last few months. None of the GOP hopefuls have higher than Zellers' 34% level of name recognition, and most of them are stuck in the 20s. That gives them room to grow, but Dayton is awfully close to 50%.
There's just as much indecision among Republican primary voters about the race for Governor as Senate. Kurt Zellers 'leads' with 12% to 11% for Dave Thompson, 10% for Julie Rosen, 9% for Marty Seifert, 8% for Jeff Johnson, and 6% for Scott Honour.
Texas won our vote on where to poll this week. Obviously we'll poll Greg Abbott v. Wendy Davis. Anyone else we need to look at for Governor? Also would love suggestions about who to test against John Cornyn next year in either the primary or general elections. And of course any other Texas question suggestions would be appreciated as well.
We'll also do a final Virginia poll this weekend, including all three statewide races. Any suggestions for stuff we should ask about in Virginia beyond the major races would be great.
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