PPP's first Massachusetts Governor poll with Martha Coakley in the mix finds her in a strong position, with big leads for both the primary and general election.
Coakley's announcement has pretty much evaporated support for all the candidates who were already in the race. 57% of Democrats want her to be the nominee compared to 10% for Steve Grossman, 6% for Don Berwick, 4% for Joe Avellone, 3% for Dan Wolf, and 2% for Juliette Kayyem. Even if Mike Capuano was to enter the race at this point she'd still have a substantial advantage at 41% to his 21% with everyone else in single digits.
Coakley also starts out with a double digit lead over likely Republican foe Charlie Baker at 51/38. Capuano leads Baker as well, by a 42/37 margin. But the rest of the Democrats actually start out effectively tied with or behind him in hypothetical match ups, underscoring the need the party had for someone else to get in the race. Baker leads Joe Avellone 40/30, Juliette Kayyem 38/31, Dan Wolf 37/31, and Don Berwick 42/37, and is effectively tied with Steve Grossman at 38/37.
Coakley's image has seen a lot of improvement from her 2010 Senate campaign. Our final poll before that election found her favorability at 44/51, but that's improved a net 18 points now to 49/38. She's especially seen improvement in her standing with independents.
Moving on to the US Senate race, it looks like a rematch for Ed Markey with Gabriel Gomez next year wouldn't be much of a contest. Markey now leads Gomez 53/35 in a hypothetical match up, and Gomez's favorability has slipped to a 31/40 spread following his loss in June. Richard Tisei wouldn't provide much competition for Markey either, trailing 54/27.
Massachusetts voters aren't exactly in love with Markey- they split evenly on his approval at 39%. But Barack Obama's approval rating in the state is 53/42- compared to 44/43 on our final poll when Brown beat Coakley in 2010. And as long as Obama's approval is over 50% Republicans aren't likely to pull off a lot of upsets in Massachusetts.
Full results here