PPP's newest Louisiana poll finds that Mary Landrieu's held her own over the last six months. She leads her main Republican opponent, Bill Cassidy, by a 50/40 margin. That's the exact same thing we found when we last looked at the state in February. Landrieu's approval spread at 46/43 is also little different from 47/45 the last time around.
The key for Landrieu is that she still has a fair amount of crossover support from Republicans. 23% of them approve of her and 23% also support her in a hypothetical match up against Cassidy. That's a lot more support than you see most Democrats managing across party lines these days, particularly in the south.
It's important to note that this 10 point lead for Landrieu is not likely to hold up. 78% of the undecided voters in the race disapprove of President Obama so they're likely to end up in the Republican column, but at this point Cassidy has only 51% name recognition so the undecideds skew conservative. If their Senate votes ended up being a referendum on the President Landrieu's margin would be tighter at 52/48.
Cassidy does look like the overwhelming Republican favorite to move forward in this race. In a four way primary Landrieu gets 47% with him at 20%, Elbert Guillory at 6%, and Rob Maness at 2%. In a three way contest Landrieu's at 48% to 24% for Cassidy and 5% for Maness. Neither of the other Republican candidates appear to be particularly great threats to Cassidy's prospects for getting into a runoff.
Landrieu has very strong statewide favorability numbers- 44% of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of him to just 24% with a negative one. His popularity with Democrats is predictable but even among Republicans he comes close to breaking even with a 30/31 favorability spread. He leads the two GOP hopefuls because like his sister he pulls 20-23% of the Republican vote in the head to heads.
Obviously it's early but the Landrieu family name appears to have Democrats in Louisiana decently well positioned for the next couple big elections.
Full results here