PPP's newest Georgia Senate poll finds that with Michelle Nunn joining the field, the race is a toss up.
Nunn herself is not all that well known- 61% of voters don't have an opinion about her and those who do have one are closely divided with 20% viewing her favorably and 19% unfavorably. But there's no doubt that the Nunn family brand remains very strong in the state- her father has a 56/12 favorability rating even after nearly 20 years out of office and his appeal cuts across party lines- he's at 64/7 with independents, 58/16 with Republicans, and 50/12 with Democrats.
Nunn currently leads or is tied with all the Republicans in the race. The ones she's dead even with are Phil Gingrey (both at 41%) and David Perdue (both at 40%). She leads Karen Handel and Jack Kingston each by 2 points at 40/38, Paul Broun by 5 at 41/36, Derrick Grayson by 6 at 42/36, and Eugene Yu by 7 at 42/35.
Barack Obama's approval rating in Georgia is just a 43/54 spread. But Nunn's keeping it competitive because the Republican candidate field is a combination of unknown and unliked. Handel has the highest name recognition but it's still just 52%, followed by Gingrey at 51%, Broun and Perdue at 44%, Kingston at 41%, Grayson at 27%, and Yu at 24%. None of the Republicans have positive favorability ratings, probably owing to the contentious primary election developing on their side.
Democrats are a lot more unified around Nunn at this point than Republicans are around their candidates, and that's a big part of why the race starts out so surprisingly competitive. Whether it will remain that way depends a lot on how things shake out with the GOP primary field- but it's pretty clear that this along with Kentucky is one of Democrats' 2 best pick up opportunities next year on a map pretty barren of opportunities to play offense.
Full results here