PPP's newest look at the Republican race for 2016 in Iowa finds a new leader. Rand Paul is at 18% to 16% for Chris Christie, 15% for Paul Ryan, 14% for Jeb Bush, 11% for Marco Rubio, 10% for Ted Cruz, 6% for Rick Santorum, 2% for Bobby Jindal, and 1% for Susana Martinez. Paul also led the last time we polled New Hampshire with 28% to 25% for Rubio and 14% for Christie.
Marco Rubio had led the way when PPP polled Iowa in February, but has dropped 5 points since then even though his favorability rating is basically unchanged (54/13 then, 54/14 now). Candidates rising since then are Christie (up 4 points and also from 36/33 to 45/27 on his favorability), Paul (up 3 points and from 55/19 favorability to 60/15), and Ryan (up 5 points and from 63/16 favorability to 68/12).
Paul is leading based on his appeal to the furthest right segment of the GOP. With 'very conservative' voters he's at 25% with no one else polling above 13%. Paul is also particularly strong with men (getting 21% to 17% for Christie) and younger voters (getting 32% to 26% for Ryan). Christie has a big advantage with moderates, Bush leads with seniors, and Ryan is up with women.
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to be totally dominant, getting 71% to 12% for Joe Biden and 5% for Elizabeth Warren with no one else polling above 2%. Clinton is doing even better than she was in February, when she registered at 68%. Her favorability rating is 87/7. Clinton polls at 72% with women and 69% with men, 72% with young voters and 67% with seniors, 77% with liberals and 63% with moderates. Clinton also led our last New Hampshire poll with 68% to 12% for Biden and 5% for Warren.
And if Clinton and Biden were both out of the mix, Warren leads the way with 20% to 18% for Cuomo, 12% for Cory Booker, 7% for Kirsten Gillibrand, 4% for Martin O'Malley, 3% for Brian Schweitzer, and 2% for Mark Warner.
When it comes to the general election Clinton is a clear favorite against all comers. Chris Christie comes closest to her but still trails by 7 points at 43/36. After that it's Paul Ryan trailing by 9 at 49/40, Rand Paul down 11 at 48/37, Marco Rubio down 12 at 47/35, and Jeb Bush down 14 at 50/36.
Full results here