PPP's first look at the potential special election to replace Mel Watt in Congress finds Malcolm Graham leading the way. He gets 31%, with the only other candidate in double digits Alma Adams at 22%. George Battle III and Beverly Earle at 8%, Marcus Brandon at 5%, Harold Cogdell and Rodney Moore at 3%, and Torre Jessup, Ed Hanes, and Avery Staley each at 1% round out the candidates we polled.
Graham is the only one of the potential candidates with greater than 50% name recognition among likely primary voters. 49% see him favorably only 8% with an unfavorable opinion. Graham leads the way based on his strength in Mecklenburg County, which accounts for more than half of the district. He gets 50% there with Earle at 12% and Battle at 10% the only other candidates hitting double digits.
Alma Adams is the second best known candidate with 41% of voters seeing her positively to 10% with a negative opinion. Adams is crushing fellow State Representative Marcus Brandon 58/15 in their home county of Guilford, something that makes a path to victory for Brandon very difficult.
Most of the potential candidates in the race have low name recognition. 48% of voters are familiar with Earle, 47% with Cogdell, 44% with Battle, 35% with Brandon, 29% with Jessup, 28% with Moore, 26% with Hanes, and 21% with Staley. That means that the other candidates have potential to grow as the race develops, but for now Graham and Adams are the clear front runners.
Full results here