A new Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia, conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 49-46. PPP has conducted 5 Virginia polls during the month of October and found Obama leading in every single one, by an average margin of 2.8 points.
Key findings from the survey include:
-Obama is winning big with women (56/39), African Americans (86/11), and voters under 45 (53/41). Romney’s strong groups are men (56/40), seniors (52/45), and white voters (56/39).
- One key thing to note is that Obama’s deficit with white voters in Virginia (17) is smaller than our national polling has found (22). Obama's competitiveness with white voters coupled with his overwhelming support from Virginia’s larger than average non-white population make him the favorite there.
-Obama continues to have a strong advantage over Romney on the key issues of who voters think will stand up more for the middle class (51/45) and who they think will do more to protect Medicare (50/45). We have consistently found Obama with the edge on these measures in swing states, and it goes a long way toward explaining why he’s the favorite in most of them.
Full results here
Do we have any idea how federal employees in Virginia are planning on voting?
Posted by: dobber | November 01, 2012 at 12:10 AM
Oh, dailykos...I mean PPP, how we love you:
The D/R/I on this poll is — wait for it — 43/36/22. Forty-three percent of the respondents were Democrats...and Obama only gets to 49%.
Let’s remind people of what Virginia’s electorate looked like in the 2008 presidential (39/33/27) and 2009 gubernatorial (33/37/30) elections. Is there any data out there indicating that Democrats in Virginia are about to outperform the 2009 election by almost a third — ten points? Or that independents have either decided to stay home or shift in large numbers to the Democratic Party? Even the flawed CBS/NYT/Q-poll released yesterday showed Republican enthusiasm seven points higher than that of Democrats in Virginia.
Posted by: Michael | November 01, 2012 at 11:11 AM
Pathetic attemp by PPP to cover for Obama. The Obama campaign has pretty much given up on VA like they have NC and yet these clowns will go into election day with the President ahead. Do we need to remind you guys about how off you were for the FLA Primary or the Wisconsin recall?
Posted by: Sean | November 02, 2012 at 01:14 AM