A new Public Policy Polling survey in Iowa conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now finds Barack Obama moving into a 49-48 lead in the state. Obama’s small advantage reverses a 1 point deficit he had on a PPP poll of the state last week.
Key findings from the survey include:
-The belief that Obama would be a stronger fighter for the middle class than Mitt Romney is helping to drive his lead in the state. 50% of Iowa voters say that they trust Obama more to stand up for the middle class, compared to 47% of voters who pick Romney on that front.
-Voters also trust Obama a lot more than Romney to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes. 50% of Iowans say they have more faith in Obama than Romney on that front, including a 49/41 spread with independent voters.
-Obama’s banked a large lead in Iowa among folks who have already voted, getting 64% to 35% for Mitt Romney. That means Romney has a big deficit to overcome in the state over the next two weeks. Obama’s small overall advantage also owes to strong support from women (53/44) and young voters (55/45). Romney is ahead 53/45 with men and 54/42 with those who have yet to cast their ballots.
Full results here
What % of voters have already voted?
Posted by: SamR | October 21, 2012 at 07:31 PM
It seems to me that the Obama campaign's pushing of early voting means they are going to be able to really target those voters who haven't yet voted on Election Day - they'll be less of them than for the GOP - so it will be easier to contact them all and try to make sure they all vote.
Considering the organization of the Obama campaign and all of the stories of huge early voting - it's really hard to believe these really strict LV screens that are giving Romney 5 and 6 point bumps vs the RV #s.
Posted by: Obama 2012 | October 21, 2012 at 08:56 PM
There 25% independent voters in Iowa according to this poll. Why aren't other candidates such as Gary Johnson included in these polls?
Posted by: jay | October 25, 2012 at 11:13 AM