Obama lead in Virginia up to 5 points

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia, conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, finds Barack Obama expanding his lead in the aftermath of his debate victory Monday night. He now has 51% to 46% for Mitt Romney, up from a 49/47 advantage last weekend.

Key findings from the survey include:

-Obama’s seen a 7 point net improvement in his favorability rating among Virginia voters from a -3 spread last week (48/51) to now +4 at 51/47. Romney’s numbers have headed in the other direction. He’s dropped 7 points from a +2 spread on our last poll (49/47) to now -5 at 46/51.

-Voters trust Obama more than Romney on several major issues in the election. Those include who voters think will stand up for the middle class (52/44) and who they think will do more to protect Medicare (50/46).

-Obama leads 57/41 with women, 88/8 with African Americans, and 53/42 with young voters. Romney has a 50/45 advantage with men, a 57/41 one with whites, and a 57/41 edge with seniors. Obama’s moved from being slightly behind with independents last week at 45/44 to now slightly ahead at 47/45.

Full results here

Comments

[Bill Mitchell]

Lol, are you kidding me? Obama leads by 16 with women? Every other poll in America says that Obama's lead with women has evaporated. Even AP today says it is zero.

What a joke this poll continues to be. The left pays your bills so you don't care about looking like fools on election day.

Wait, let me guess. The Virginia shipyards just loved what Obama said about the Navy, right?

[Bill Mitchell]

You seriously have Obama ahead with Independents? Obama is trailing with Independents by double digits everywhere.

Pathetic. Desperation.

[Brian]

Not a big surprise after Obama's victories in the 2nd and 3rd debates.

[BigGovernmentSocialConservative]

So,
I have a question. Is there a reason YOU KNOW OF, that RCP isn't posting this survey on their website?

I see a trend of ignoring Obama-favorable polls in RCP. Want to know if there's a reason (perhaps because the poll was commissioned by HfA, in this case, for example).

[Obama 2012]

If Obama wins Virginia, Obama wins the White House. This is a huge # for the President.

[Polls Lie]

This poll is a fantasy. You have (I) voters breaking for Obama at rates unseen in any other poll, anywhere else. Your sample has 53% women in it.

I'd /love/ to see your weighting, and the locations that you polled. But, please, continue spreading misinformation to Democratic base voters. Maybe they'll fail to vote because they think it's in the bag.

[michty6]

Why is RCP not showing this poll?

[Brandt Hardin]

If Obama loses the election, you can blame/thank the Right for bamboozling him. How is it ethical that an entire news network questions the President’s citizenship for four years to create doubt in voters while a fringe element of the far right demonizes and degrades him? Most of this is financed by the rich who want to keep their stranglehold on the flow of wealth in our country. Watch the white hands apply the Blackface to our first African-American President at http://dregstudiosart.blogspot.com/2012/10/bamboozling-obama.html

[Sophie]

I've noticed that you stopped including Virgil Goode and Gary Johnson on your Virginia polls. Is there any particular reason for that? Unless I've missed something, both will be on the ballot.

[Mike1776]

Looks like American have finally seen through Willard "Mitt" Romney the faker, with his flip-flops, evasions, misrepresentations and outright lies; and Lyin' Ryan.

[Michael H.]

How much does the GOP pay you per comment, Bill Mitchell?

[Paul VanDevelder]

A WSJ poll supports the findings in this poll. Women in battleground states break for Obama by double digits...polling in the south skews all the numbers in the national picture and renders them suspect. Look to the states...Obama is solidly up in Ohio, Wis., Nevada, and narrowly leads in Iowa and now Virginia. Gallup just released a poll which found Obama won the 3rd debate 57-33...the numbers are starting to settle.

[Tommy]

This is great news!! President Obama is going to win my home state of Virginia!!

[Paul]

Where are people like Bill Mitchell, that have been gloating and puffing their chest for the last 2 weeks, going to hide when reality kicks in on election night? Maybe join the Dick Morris / Trump club and give up on reality all together? You´ll be just as shocked as the world was in 2004 when you re-elected Bush... What goes around comes around.

Calling any democrat desperate when all the critical electoral college numbers lean blue is pretty childish... It´s evident the desperation is all yours.

[Jeff]

I'm not surprised women are 57/41 Obama in the state that became famous by promoting unnecessary forced vaginal ultrasounds.

[Cfward1957]

You quibblers and naysayers forget ... this is Virginia, the place where Republicans tried to force transvaginal ultrasounds on pregnant women seeking abortions and the governor settled for an ultrasound requirement after many protests. The vehement reaction of Virginia's women against the man who has become known to them as Ultrasound Bob was enough to derail any possibility he would be selected as Romney's running mate. Virginia's women were energized and organized to respond to this legislative nitwittery and in fact held protests in Richmond which netted over 30 arrests. In other words, Virginia's women are not fooled by Romney's blandishments or about what it would mean to have the Republicans take over the national government. So this poll is, in fact, quite accurate.

[Gloriajbv]

the last debates have swayed back to Obama with all the men in the GOP party of raping women and forcing them to keep the babies and with gov. vaginal probe and the republican legislature has turned the women off since last year so to keep women right to make there own reproductive choices has really hit the gov by endorsing Murdoch in Indiana will get worse women will remember and also the phones are house phones most people carry cell phones so think of the people that have house phones to cell phone NC is back in the toss up if Romney losses NC or VA. he is done

[Peter Miles]

Failure to respond to the non appearance of this poll in the RCP daily summary is distrubing.

Presumably RCP determines what the criteria are for appearance in their summaries and PPP may not know why it was not selected...if so then tell us....if you do know why then tell us that!