« | Main | McCaskill leads by 6 »

October 03, 2012

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Obama 2012

And this before the "giving abortions to women who aren't pregnant" quote makes the rounds. Todd Akin is an idiot and would be a true embarrassment to Missouri.

At some point pride has to kick in, you just can't possibly want this fool representing your state unless you're certifiably insane yourself.

scott

Kinda weird on the crosstabs. The Romney lead consists of 10.8 points among whites (55-42x.83) minus 7.2 points among AA (76-16X.12) plus 2.2 among other (63-26X.06). Even if you think that what looks like a low Obama margin with AAs (60 v. 86 in '08) is balanced out by an equally low Romney lead with whites (13 v. 15 in '08), the number for all other races (63-26 Romney) looks strange. The '08 exit polls didn't break down for these groups in Missouri specifically, but the national exit polls were 67-31 Hispanic, 62-35 Asian, and 66-31 Other. Nothing I've seen in the limited polling for these groups this election cycle shows any great departures from those margins. Even if you went with a straight 50-50 split, which would be Romney-favorable, the lead would be down to 3.6, and if you went with the '08 exit polling for these groups, it would be down to 1.4-1.8. Bottom line is that I think Romney is leading but that the margin might be closer than we see here. Interesting stuff, and I'm curious to see how it turns out!

TooManyJens

"-93% of Missouri voters think you can get pregnant from being raped to 4% who think you can't and 4% who are unsure.

-Only 27% of voters think McCaskill is 'un-ladylike' as Akin suggested last week."

What a world we live in, when there's a reason to even ask these questions.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

PPP POLLS BY YEAR: 2006-2014

We came to PPP after a public poll in the San Jose Mayoral race showed our opponent ahead by 8 points. They found our candidate (Sam Liccardo) ahead by 3 points and that allowed us to be able to push back with the press against the perception that our opponent was now a strong favorite in the race. Sam ended up winning by 2 points and is now the next Mayor of San Jose. PPP worked very fast and had a very accurate read on the electorate when we needed them
–Eric Jaye, Storefront Political Media.

For more information on hiring PPP for your polling needs click here

Among the Best Pollsters, Year after Year.

2014 :
Rated Most Accurate Pollster in Governor’s Races Nationally

2012 :
Correctly predicted the winner of every state in the Presidential race, and the winner of every major Senate race

2010 :
First pollster to predict Scott Brown’s upset win over Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate race, only pollster to predict Christine O’Donnell’s upset victory over Mike Castle in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.

2008 :
Ranked by the Wall Street Journal as the 2nd most accurate swing state pollster in the Presidential election.


WSJ Graphic

CONTACT US

Public Policy Polling
2912 Highwoods Blvd., Suite 201
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888.621.6988

Questions or Comments?
Email Us

RECENT POSTS

Categories

HIRE PPP

Dean Debnam Dean Debnam
Public Policy Polling CEO

PPP is best known for putting out highly accurate polling on key political races across the country, but we also do affordable private research for candidates and organizations.  Why pay tens of thousands of dollars for a survey when one of the most reliable companies in the nation can do it for less?"

Learn more about working
with PPP for your next project >

FOLLOW US

Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
RSS Feed RSS Reader
Email Sign up: New Polling Data email