-PPP's newest poll of the Virginia Senate race finds...the same thing as pretty much every poll of this race conducted the entire cycle- a contest that's too close to call. Tim Kaine is ahead of George Allen by the thinnest of margins, 47-46. The candidates were tied at 46 a month ago.
These candidates are dead even about every way you look at it. 89% of Democrats are voting for Kaine. 89% of Republicans are voting for Allen. They're virtually tied with independents, with Allen having just a 44-43 advantage.
Their favorability numbers split pretty evenly as well. 41% of voters have a favorable opinion of Allen while 41% see him unfavorably. They're closely divided on Kaine as well with 42% giving him positive marks to 44% with a negative opinion.
There's not much reason to think this race will ever end up with one of the candidates winning by more than a point or two. The undecideds are voting for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney 41-36 so Kaine may have a slight edge with them but it's nothing like in Massachusetts or Nevada where the Senate undecideds are overwhelmingly Democratic leaning.
-Virginia's eminent domain amendment is leading by a wide margin right now, 43-19, although the 38% of voters undecided indicates many folks aren't exactly sure what it's about. There's bipartisan consensus on the amendment with independents (46/16), Democrats (42/22), and Republicans (39/18) all supporting it in relatively similar numbers.
-Virginia baseball fans have hopped on board the Nationals bandwagon. When we asked folks last summer what their favorite baseball team was 19% picked the Braves, 14% picked the Yankees, and the Nationals could manage only a third place tie with the Red Sox at 11%. But what a difference a year makes- the playoff bound Nationals now lead the way for most popular team honors with 19% to 13% each for the Braves and Yankees, and 11% for the Orioles. The Red Sox have slipped back to 7%. It looks like a lot of folks are shifting from the Braves to the Nats with the team's success this year.
-If Mark Warner runs for reelection to the Senate in 2014 he'll start out as the favorite, although he probably can't count on a margin of victory quite on par with what he achieved in 2008. Warner would lead a generic Republican opponent by a 51/40 margin. He continues to be the most popular politician in the state with a 49/29 approval rating, edging out Bob McDonnell (44/36) and Jim Webb (35/34).
-Eric Cantor continues to be an extremely unpopular statewide figure in Virginia, just as John Boehner is in his home state. 25% of voters have a favorable opinion of Cantor to 40% with a negative one. Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot 45-44 in the state.
Full results here