« Akin still leads McCaskill by a point | Main | Ryan helps Romney to small lead in Wisconsin »

August 21, 2012


Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.


Romney's approval rating seems suspiciously high to me.

kd bart

Obama won the state 56-42 in 2008 but according to the tabs, the make up of this poll is only 51-43 Obama from 2008.

Marczen Y'cousa

It wont last. Ryan's going through a honeymoon period, once people start getting familiar with his budget plans and hypocrisy they won't vote for him.

Plus its worth pointing out he's up by ONE PERCENT, that's within the margin of error. Calm down people.


I think the Ryan bounce will be followed by the Convention bounce next week followed by the money and ad bounce when Romney is finally able to use his general election funds... And as it looks like the Dem convention will be a dud and that Obama's frenzy of fundraisers and flurry of futile ads have not helped moved the needle in Obama's direction... Well, I feel pretty darn good about November 7th, the morning after this election is decided. Plus it looks like Romney will have a sizable funding advantage heading into the fall election season when many voter finally begin to pay attention. Think I will pick up a nice bottle of Chardonnay to toast with Tuesday November 6th! Merely 77 days....

William Jefferson Jr.

Obama's problem is that his support is soft, and not just in Wisconsin. Even in states where he's supposedly at the "magic" 50% mark, a couple of months pass and a new poll shows him down below 50%. His support in Wisconsin in July was 50%, now it's 47%. That 50% in July was not hard support. This means that Romney has a good chance, given his money advantage in the final 2 months, to win every state where Obama is currently at 50% or even 51%. This means Oregon, Illinois, Minnesota, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, and Maine are all in play. A blitz of negative ads will pull Obama down to 47-49%. So, basically, every state but California, New York, and Hawaii is in play.


This is while Obama has outspent Romney by almost 3 to 1. Romney currently has a $60 million cash advantage, and will be able to outspend Obama in the final months.

If it's this close when Obama is outspending Romney by a large amount - what happens when Romney starts to outspend Obama?


LOL - regarding the comment that Romney's rating look suspiciously high. Sure don't see comments like that when the O person is leading....Just watch the Romney/Ryan numbers rise when the voter ID law goes through. O had his chance, legal or not, and he blew it. Sorry O, as NEWSWEEK says-Hit the Road.

John Becvar

Wisconsin will have 2 republican senators, and a republican governor elected twice in a year and a half. Obama has no chance, unless if the turn-out on Madison and Milwaukee can get to the 115% level again like the recall election. But even the fraudulent vote by the public sector unions. Oils not overcome the legitimate vote. I would be shocked if Obama ended up any better off than the recall election. 7% loss.

danny katz

Bush lost wisconsin by 5k votes. why did anybody think this wouldn't be close?

Obama 2012

It looks like Ryan is giving Romney a bounce in his home state. Nothing to get too worried about yet. If it's still tied in Wisconsin in a month then maybe it'll be a more serious concern.


BAHAHAHAH.... 'Illinois and Connecticut are in play.' Now that's a good joke! But you'd have to be a Republican optimist on the brink of brain damage (well, even moreso than it takes to be a Ryan supporter in the first place) to believe THAT one.


From what I can tell, Wisconsin is whiter than your average midwestern state, and it also seems to be ground zero for the Koch's strategy of wildly overspending on state and local races. The fact that they've made Wisconsin their test lab has seemingly taken its toll.


Your poll does not include Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or Virgil Goode, all of whom are on the ballot in Wisconsin. Because you did not ask voters the same question that will be on their ballots, your poll is not valid.


If Bush couldn't win Wisconsin, neither will Romney.


The majority of Americans who believe in Freedom and Liberty will rise up this November and support Romney/ Ryan.
It will be a landslide similar to Reagan over Carter.

Interestingly, the polls found that one close right up until election day. History will repeat itself. NOBAMA2012!

Vote Romney/ Ryan for the future of this country.


Keep dreaming GOP; OBAMA all the way.


To the person who said the survey for 2008 comes out only 51-43 Obama vs. the 56-42 actual result, that does not necessarily show a flaw of the poll. It may indicate that 5% of those who voted for Obama are not going to vote this time, which matches the whole enthusiasm gap that has been noted. (The 43% for McCain vs. 42% is well within the margin of error for the survey.) That means 9% (4 percentage points) of Obama voters have switched to Romney, and 10% (5 percentage points) of Obama voters will be staying home.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

Your Information

(Name is required. Email address will not be displayed with the comment.)

PPP POLLS BY YEAR: 2006-2017

We came to PPP after a public poll in the San Jose Mayoral race showed our opponent ahead by 8 points. They found our candidate (Sam Liccardo) ahead by 3 points and that allowed us to be able to push back with the press against the perception that our opponent was now a strong favorite in the race. Sam ended up winning by 2 points and is now the next Mayor of San Jose. PPP worked very fast and had a very accurate read on the electorate when we needed them
–Eric Jaye, Storefront Political Media.

For more information on hiring PPP for your polling needs click here

Among the Best Pollsters, Year after Year.

2014 :
Rated Most Accurate Pollster in Governor’s Races Nationally

2012 :
Correctly predicted the winner of every state in the Presidential race, and the winner of every major Senate race

2010 :
First pollster to predict Scott Brown’s upset win over Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate race, only pollster to predict Christine O’Donnell’s upset victory over Mike Castle in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.

2008 :
Ranked by the Wall Street Journal as the 2nd most accurate swing state pollster in the Presidential election.

WSJ Graphic


Public Policy Polling
2912 Highwoods Blvd., Suite 201
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888.621.6988

Questions or Comments?
Email Us




Dean Debnam Dean Debnam
Public Policy Polling CEO

PPP is best known for putting out highly accurate polling on key political races across the country, but we also do affordable private research for candidates and organizations.  Why pay tens of thousands of dollars for a survey when one of the most reliable companies in the nation can do it for less?"

Learn more about working
with PPP for your next project >


Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
RSS Feed RSS Reader