PPP's newest Presidential poll in Massachusetts finds no change in the race from June. Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 16 points, 55-39. This would seem to suggest that Elizabeth Warren's poor numbers in our Senate release yesterday are more specific to her race than an indication of a general downward trend in the fortunes of Massachusetts Democrats.
Massachusetts voters simply don't think much of their former Governor. Only 39% of voters have a favorable opinion of Romney to 55% with an unfavorable one. They don't look back on his tenure as chief executive very fondly- 42% approve of the work he did in that job but 46% disapprove. And they don't really consider him to be a Bay Stater anyway- 23% consider him one of their own while 66% do not.
Romney can't match the Scott Brown formula for being successful as a Republican in a blue state. Where Brown leads Elizabeth Warren by 26 points with independents, Romney trails Obama by a point with them at 46-45. And Romney's 10% of the Democratic vote is half of the 20% Brown is earning right now.
Romney's not even the more popular member of the Republican ticket in Massachusetts. Paul Ryan's net favorability of -12 (37/49) is four points better than Romney's -16.
Even if Romney was well liked, Obama is pretty strong on his own merits in Massachusetts. 55% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 41% who disapprove, some of the best numbers we've found for him anywhere in the country lately.
Other notes from Massachusetts:
-Deval Patrick has a 49/40 approval rating, basically the same as his 49/43 standing in June. When asked whether they think he or Romney has proven to be a better Governor, voters choose Patrick by a 51/42 margin.
-John Kerry has a 50/38 approval rating this month, down a tick from 53/38 in June. He and Brown have gone back forth in terms of being the Massachusetts Senator with the higher approval numbers, and Brown wins out on that front this month.
-Massachusetts voters are closely divided when it comes to the recent controversy about sending voter registration forms to welfare recipients. 43% support it, 40% are opposed, and 17% don't have an opinion one way or the other. Democrats (61/22) support it while independents (37/46) and especially Republicans (14/71) oppose it.
Full results here