PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama holding on to a small lead in the state over Mitt Romney, 50-47. Obama's advantage has been declining over the course of the year. In late March we found him up 8 points, in early June it was down to 6 points, and now the advantage is at 3.
Romney's keeping it close despite Democrats' registration advantage in Nevada because he's ahead 51-41 with independents. Romney is also blowing Obama out with white voters, 57-40. Obama leads anyway largely because he has a 67-28 advantage with Hispanics.
Nevadans narrowly disapprove of the job Obama is doing, with 48% giving him good marks to 49% who are unhappy with him. Romney has negative favorability numbers with 46% of voters viewing him positively to 49% with an unfavorable opinion. But that's up a net 9 points from June when he was at a -12 spread (41/53).
A lot of that improvement has to do with Republicans continuing to warm up to Romney. His favorability with them is now 85/13 after previously being 71/23. We saw similar improvement for him on our Iowa poll over the weekend with GOP voters where he's now at 82/12 compared to a previous 72/19.
Other notes from Nevada:
-53% of voters think Romney should release his tax returns to 44% who think he should not.
-There are large gender and generational gaps in the Nevada polling. Obama's up 11 points with women (54-43) and 13 points with voters under 45 (56-43). But Romney leads by 8 with men (52-44) and 4 with voters over 45 (49-45).
Full results here