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August 21, 2012

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Jay Thompson

This is good news despite all the other things have been polled lately.

jenn

What, if any, effect do you see the new voter ID law having on the race?

Brian

You can include myself with the VA transplants in NOVA. This group is very educated working within Finance, Government, Technology, & Military.

The only people with Romney stickers on their cars are the old folks. The data shows what everyone already knows in VA. It's very much a base election here. If Obama can get out young people, college educated whites, blacks, & new residents Romney goes down.

Goode should be able to get 1.5% of the vote.

Smooth Jazz

Thanks for the poll. What is the partisan breakdown of your poll: What is the number of Dems versus Rep versus Ind that comprise your survey??

NRH

Dear Smoothie: Please learn to click the 'Full results HERE' link at the bottom so you can read the answers to your questions directly.

Ryan

Q13 on full results contains the partisan breakdown.

Mike Hall

When there's a seven percent difference in favor of the Dems (even though American party identification has an even split) and when 5% more AAs are used, then who voted in a historic turnout in 2008, then you have problems. This poll is hardly accurate. Romney is actually ahead, it seems.

Dustin Ingalls

Mike Hall: According to exit polls, 20% of the VA electorate in 2008 was AA. We have 17%. There's no indication there has been much of a drop in enthusiasm from black voters for voting for Obama or voting in general. In fact, in our national polls, black voters remain one of the most enthused groups about turning out to vote--way more than whites and almost as much as Tea Partiers and Hispanics.

Also, the party breakdown in 2008 was D+6. No room to complain here, especially considering the continually growing and blue-ifying NoVa.

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