Mitt Romney's chances of winning Massachusetts in the election this fall continue to look pretty minuscule. He trails Barack Obama 55-39 in the state where he served as Governor. That at least represents some tightening from our last poll in March when he was down 58-35, but it doesn't suggest much of a chance to make the state competitive.
Romney does not have a good image in Massachusetts. Only 39% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 56% with a negative one. When they reflect on Romney's tenure as Governor, only 40% say they approve of the work he did to 46% who disapprove. That represents a downturn since 3 months ago when voters in the state approved of his time in office by a 48/40 spread, suggesting that the Obama's campaigns attacks on his tenure are having an impact.
Massachusetts voters don't even really regard Romney as one of their own despite his time as Governor- only 25% say they consider him to be a Bay Stater, while 65% say they do not. There doesn't seem to be a state that wants to lay claim to Romney- when we polled Michigan last month, only 24% of voters said they considered him to be one of their own to 65% who said they did not.
Obama has decent approval numbers in the state, with 53% of voters giving him good marks to 43% who disapprove. The two candidates are getting about equal portions of their party bases, with Obama taking 85% of Democrats and Romney 86% of Republicans. Romney's up 47-45 with independents, but that's a sharp contrast from the 57-33 lead Scott Brown had with them in the Senate numbers we released yesterday.
Romney as the Republican nominee will make Massachusetts closer than it was in 2008. But it doesn't look like it will be too close.
Full results here