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May 16, 2012


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There's no doubt that things have tightened up in North Carolina (i.e. shifted away from Obama) but what do you think about the Rasmussen Reports poll today that finds Romney ahead by 8 points? Statistical noise?

Sally Rotondo

How in the world do you get and actually have the nerve to publish them? After the Rasmussen study today of Likely Voters in NC and the petition to have the Dem Convention leave the state, your poll results, once again, have to be questioned. Statisticians should be just that. If you are something else, step up and let everyone know who you really are... a left wing political outfit. As a brand marketer, it makes me ill when pollsters do this stuff.

Mitch Segel

Rasmussen has Romney up by 8 points in NC , poll released today. I think you guys missed the boat.

Otherwise you have been doing some very good work recently.

Patrick Stuart

With all due respect, I know you're based out of North Carolina, but I feel like you do too much polling there. Every few weeks we get to see an update of North Carolina, even though we already have a good idea of where it is based off previous polls by you guys there.

Maybe you could branch out a bit and do other states instead when you would be doing North Carolina?

Conservative Dem

Your NC polls have been around 6 points off when compared to actual results -- please see Amendment 1. I'm thinking your selection criteria has been biased towards the metro areas, otherwise you wouldn't have been so far off.

It's pretty clear NC is moving toward leans Republican.


sally it makes you ill when pollsters do this stuff? rasmussen is the one that does this stuff. please do some research befor blindly commenting on somethng you are uneducated about. per 538, rasmussen last year was off on their polls by an average of 6 points in races with a very heavy republican bias.

Obama 2012

I think it's hilarious that these right wingers come in here trumpeting the latest Rasmussen poll while dismissing the PPP poll when PPP has a far better track record.

Look at how badly Rasmussen did at calling Senate races in 2010: http://www.thepresidentialcandidates.us/rasmussen-reports-republican-bias/1297/

They had an average bias of nearly 5% points for the Republican candidate. There were three races that they predicted would be won by the Republican that were not (unsurprisingly they made no such errors in favor of the Democrats.)


So, one polling company with both a documented R house bias and margin of error polls in the other direction, and therefore this poll doesn't count? Not buying it.


Rasmussen's definition of 'Likely Voters' is the 'voters' he would 'like' to see show up.

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