The Montana Governor's race has looked like a sheer toss up every time we've polled it and things are no different in our newest look at the race. Steve Bullock and Rick Hill are tied at 39% each. On the previous two PPP polls of that match up Hill led by margins of 39-38 and 39-37
Bullock is more popular than Hill. 34% of voters have a positive opinion of him to 21% with a negative one. Hill's under water with 20% of voters rating him favorably to 28% with an unfavorable view. Usually that kind of disparity in favorability numbers would have Bullock ahead overall but of course Montana's a Republican state and Hill's taking the GOP vote 77-8, allowing him to achieve the tie.
Bullock would start out with a 41-35 advantage over the other leading Republican candidate, Ken Miller. But that match up looks unlikely. Hill continues to lead the primary field by a wide margin with 33% to 12% for Miller, 7% for Corey Stapleton, 5% for Neil Livingstone, 4% for Jim Lynch and Jim O'Hara, and 1% for Bob Fanning. The race has tightened up a little bit- Hill led Miller by 27 points on our last previous poll- but with the clock ticking on primary day a big comeback for Miller doesn't appear terribly likely.
Not much else to report on this race- it looks like it will be very close and there's been very little variation in our polls on it.
Full results here