Jay Nixon continues to have a double digit lead against his two main Republican opponents for reelection as Governor of Missouri...but the race has tightened up some since late January. Nixon leads Dave Spence by 11 points, 45-34, and has a 14 point advantage over Bill Randles at 46-32. Those leads are down from 20 points over Spence and 18 over Randles the last time PPP polled the race.
The main reason the race has gotten closer is Republicans starting to unify some around their candidates as the election nears. Spence has improved from 54% to 69% of the GOP vote, and Randles has gone from 58% to 63%. Also, although Nixon continues to have a double digit advantage over both of his rivals with independents, it's not as large as it used to be. He's up 14 on Spence with them compared to 26 on the previous poll, and 17 on Randles compared to 22 last time.
Spence is now looking like a pretty strong favorite for the Republican nomination, although a plurality of voters remain undecided. He's at 32% to 11% for Randles, 4% for Fred Sauer, and 1% for John Weiler. Compared to our last poll of the race Spence has gained 20 points while Randles has dropped by 4. 43% of voters remain undecided but the direction the contest is headed in is pretty clear.
Nixon probably won't replicate his 20 point margin of victory from 2008, but he remains a strong favorite overall.
Full results here