It sounds like Newt Gingrich will be out of the race by the time North Carolina votes and that's just as well for him. Our newest poll finds Mitt Romney with a dominant lead in the state, polling at 48% to 30% for Gingrich and 12% for Ron Paul.
North Carolina makes yet another state where you can really see the Republican base unifying around Romney. He has a 61/25 favorability rating, up from 51/32 just two weeks ago. And he's winning with the groups of the GOP electorate that have typically confounded him. He has a 46-38 lead over Gingrich with a Tea Partiers, a 44-36 advantage with Evangelicals, and he's up 48-36 with voters describing themselves as 'very conservative.' It's over.
So is the Republican primary for Governor. GOP voters aren't looking for an alternative to Pat McCrory to begin with. 66% have a favorable opinion of him to only 9% with a negative one. And what little opposition there is to him is split pretty evenly between 5 different candidates. McCrory's at 67% to 3% for Jim Harney, 2% for Jim Mahan and Paul Wright, and just 1% each for Scott Jones and Charles Kenneth Moss. 23% continue to be undecided.
In another race that looks like it could be headed for a runoff, Debra Goldman and Greg Dority continue to hold the top two spots in the contest for State Auditor. Goldman's at 12% to 11% for Dority with Fern Shubert at 7% and Rudy Wright and Joseph Hank DeBragga rounding out the field at 4% each. Goldman and Dority have persistently been at the top of the heap since we began polling this race.
Yet another race with a crowded field that could be headed for a runoff is the one for State Superintendent. John Tedesco continues to have a small lead with 16% to 13% for Richard Alexander, 6% for Mark Crawford, 5% for Ray Ernest Martin, and 4% for David Scholl. Tesdesco has a huge lead in the Triangle while Alexander is ahead in most of the rest of the state.
In the other races we polled:
-Steve Troxler is up 41-17 in his reelection bid for Agriculture Commissioner against Bill McManus. It doesn't look like he has much to worry about.
-Richard Morgan continues to have a modest lead in the Insurance Commissioner primary with 17% to 13% for Mike Causey and 10% for James McCall.
-Kenn Gardner is still the front runner for Secretary of State with 17% to 10% for Ed Goodwin and 6% each for Michael Beitler and A.J. Daoud.
Full results here