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April 11, 2012

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Obama 2012

I'm assuming that Romney's reputation will recover somewhat now that he's going to move to the middle for the general election... I'm hoping the Obama campaign does everything they can to slow that process down (keep reminding people that Romney/Etch A Sketch cannot be trusted, ever.)

Jessica

"It's unlikely Obama will really end up taking North Carolina by 5 points in the fall."
-----------------------------------------------

I disagree. Obama's GOTV apparatus will have a huge advantage, that alone can add 3 to 5 points to his tally.

Xerxes

Wow, a D+11 sample for a purple state! So, that really means that Romney is ahead of Obama in NC based on these results

Christopher Estes

According to the NC State Board of Elections, Democrats make up 43.5% and Republicans 31.4% of North Carolina's registered voters. If the sample is off, that's because not enough Democrats were polled.

Dustin Ingalls

Xerxes: You obviously know nothing about NC. The state has about a D+13 registration advantage. '08 was also D+11.

Joe

"Wow, a D+11 sample for a purple state!"

This is in line with who came out in 2008, per CNN's exit poll (42 D, 31 R, 27 I). NC has a Democratic registration edge.

You could make an argument regarding Dem/Rep enthusiasm vs. 2008 I spose, but the party ID numbers are generally logical.

Ny

Xerxes is obviously not too bright.

Obama 2012

People like Xerxes really tickle me... the funny thing is they really think they are making a good point... and then even when things are explained to them... well; they aren't the type that learn from their mistakes.

Austin Bodger

You guys need to start polling likely voters. there is no way in hell Romney is losing by five points. in reality he is probably winng by a couple.

Donna

NEWT WILL BE THE BEST PRESIDENT. ROMNEY IS A DISHONEST MAN

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