We'll have our poll on the Nevada Republican caucus out late tonight- my guess would be around 1:30 AM Eastern, 10:30 Pacific. Mitt Romney is ahead by a wide margin and the main suspense on Saturday may be whether or not he gets over 50%.
Over the weekend we're going to do polls on the Colorado and Minnesota caucuses. We're going to do an unusual Saturday/Monday field period because of the difficulties inherent in polling on Super Bowl Sunday. Assuming we get at least 300 respondents out of both those states in our Saturday calls we'll release the day 1 data on Saturday night, and then do a final release incorporating the Monday calls on Monday night.
I'm just going to say up front that these caucuses are exceptionally difficult to poll and that's why you may not see too many pollsters take a stab at them. Turnout is very low and it's hard to figure out who's really going to vote and who's not. If there was an RPI for pollsters doing these caucuses would certainly help our strength of schedule. But we'll do our best to let you know what's going on...
Any question suggestions for Colorado and Minnesota beyond horse race and favorabilities would be much appreciated!