We'll have our poll on the Nevada Republican caucus out late tonight- my guess would be around 1:30 AM Eastern, 10:30 Pacific. Mitt Romney is ahead by a wide margin and the main suspense on Saturday may be whether or not he gets over 50%.
Over the weekend we're going to do polls on the Colorado and Minnesota caucuses. We're going to do an unusual Saturday/Monday field period because of the difficulties inherent in polling on Super Bowl Sunday. Assuming we get at least 300 respondents out of both those states in our Saturday calls we'll release the day 1 data on Saturday night, and then do a final release incorporating the Monday calls on Monday night.
I'm just going to say up front that these caucuses are exceptionally difficult to poll and that's why you may not see too many pollsters take a stab at them. Turnout is very low and it's hard to figure out who's really going to vote and who's not. If there was an RPI for pollsters doing these caucuses would certainly help our strength of schedule. But we'll do our best to let you know what's going on...
Any question suggestions for Colorado and Minnesota beyond horse race and favorabilities would be much appreciated!










Same sex marriage please.
Posted by: John | February 02, 2012 at 03:15 PM
Marijuana legalization. It just qualified for the ballot in Colorado and could play a big roll in youth turnout. Preferably with a description of the initiative
Posted by: ChristianP | February 02, 2012 at 03:17 PM
For Minnesota: Effect of TPaw/Bachmann endorsements. Something about Amy Koch (should she resign her seat, or something like that). Klobuchar Senate race. Same-sex amendment.
Posted by: Chad | February 02, 2012 at 03:19 PM
A group of MN legislators just proposed a right-to-work amendment to the state constitution today. Would be interested in support/opposition of that.
Posted by: Brent | February 02, 2012 at 03:23 PM
Hi Dean,
I'd be interested to know what Minnesota likely caucus participants think of the Tea Party, as well as how much the early state results have an effect on their vote.
Posted by: Jess | February 02, 2012 at 04:25 PM
I think it would smart to ask on the Minnesota republican poll about same sex marriage. I am wondering how many people would support such an amendment on the Republican side. I think that would interesting. Also, are they glad that Tim Pawlenty and Michele Bachmann dropped out?
Posted by: Reldo Tyler | February 02, 2012 at 04:43 PM
Have you ever attended a precinct caucus?
Have you ever served as a delegate to the [county/district/state] GOP convention?
Does the result of your caucus night presidential poll guarantee delegates to a presidential candidate? (To classify other answers by how knowledgeable the subject is about the process.)
Posted by: BatesLine | February 02, 2012 at 04:46 PM
It would be nice to see the percentage of evangelicals going into the caucuses.
Posted by: Todd Dugdale | February 02, 2012 at 07:23 PM
Something about drugs in Colorado, and something about TPaw and Bachmann in Minnesota such as whether they'd like to see either of them on the ticket, or not.
Posted by: Sam | February 02, 2012 at 08:54 PM
Just for kicks, how about seeing how different candidates perform among smokers, drinkers, etc. That would be funny and interesting.
Posted by: Sam | February 03, 2012 at 01:46 PM
Pawlenty approve disaprove, and too liberal, just right, too conservative would be good. There's a big Pawlenty-was-a-RINO movement.
Also, somethign about whether the legislature should be stronger against Dayton, whether they're too far left or right, or should have stood longer on the shutdown would be interesting to see how far right the caucuses have gone recenty.
Something about, how easy it should be to amend the constituion would be interesting as well.
Posted by: bww | February 03, 2012 at 01:50 PM
I would be interested to see what CO Republicans think of John Hickenlooper as Governor.
Also, I second the above suggestion of polling right-to-work in MN, though that would be better with the entire electorate.
Posted by: Peter | February 03, 2012 at 06:31 PM