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January 12, 2012

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Alex

Was the race for governor polled? If so, when will the results between Perdue and McCrory be released?

Dustin Ingalls

Governor numbers tomorrow (Friday).

Gerald

I appreciate PPP's polling on marriage, but I wonder how reliable these results are, given that the marriage amendment vote will take place in May, on the day of the primary election.

Dustin Ingalls

The marriage results were among people who said they'd probably vote in the primary in May, just as in previous months.

Mike P.

Patrick Egan of NYU has found that level of opposition to marriage amendments found in polls are far more likely to end up being correct than the level of support found in polls. The level of opposition in the polls has been pretty stable: 34, 35, 31, 34. Plus, three of the four polls -including the January poll- have found pluralities of Democrats in favor of the measure. It is hard to see how the measure can be defeated without strong (60%+) Democratic opposition. That will almost certainly not happen; on the contrary, Democrats might vote in favor of the measure.

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