Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty's Presidential bids appear to have done serious damage to their future political prospects in Minnesota.
Bachmann comes home to only a 34% favorability rating, with 57% of voters seeing her negatively. Only 37% of voters statewide think she should run for reelection to her House seat, while 57% believe she should step down.
Pawlenty's numbers are better, but not by much. Only 39% of voters have a positive opinion of him to 50% with a negative one. Similarly just 39% say they would support him in a future bid for statewide office. while 51% say they definitely would not.
For both Bachmann and Pawlenty the most logical next move would be a run for the US Senate. But their prospects in a bid wouldn't be very good for either this year or 2014. In hypothetical 2012 match ups, Pawlenty and Bachmann trail Amy Klobuchar by margins of 54-39 and 58-35 respectively. They do a little better against Al Franken in prospective 2014 bids with Pawlenty down 49-43 and Bachmann trailing 54-39.
Klobuchar continues to look close to unbeatable. She has a 61% approval rating with 28% of voters disapproving of her. There are only 5 sitting Senators PPP has found with a higher approval rating than that. In addition to basically unanimous support from Democrats she's at better than 2:1 approval with independents (59/28) and has higher than normal crossover support from Republicans with a 32% approval.
Against her actual Republican opponents Klobuchar leads by margins ranging anywhere from 23-26 points. She's up 55-32 on Dan Severson, 55-30 on Joe Arwood, and 55-29 on Anthony Hernandez. None of the GOP hopefuls have greater than 20% name recognition at this point so it's possible or even likely the race will tighten up a little bit once there's a nominee, but probably not enough to actually make the race competitive.
What might be a little more surprising than Klobuchar's strong standing is Al Franken's solid numbers. 49% of voters approve of him to 39% who disapprove, above average numbers for a Senator in a political climate marked by a very unhappy electorate. He's on slightly positive ground with independents and has a lot more Republicans (12%) who approve of him than Democrats (3%) who disapprove. When he won in 2008 a lot of folks thought it was a fluke and that he would be toast in a non-Democratic wave year, but it looks like he's played his cards right and should start out as a favorite for reelection in 2014 as long as it doesn't prove to be another huge GOP wave year.
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