There has been some major movement in the Republican Presidential race in Iowa over the last week, with what was a 9 point lead for Newt Gingrich now all the way down to a single point. Gingrich is at 22% to 21% for Paul with Mitt Romney at 16%, Michele Bachmann at 11%, Rick Perry at 9%, Rick Santorum at 8%, Jon Huntsman at 5%, and Gary Johnson at 1%.
Gingrich has dropped 5 points in the last week and he's also seen a significant decline in his favorability numbers. Last week he was at +31 (62/31) and he's now dropped 19 points to +12 (52/40). The attacks on him appear to be taking a heavy toll- his support with Tea Party voters has declined from 35% to 24%.
Paul meanwhile has seen a big increase in his popularity from +14 (52/38) to +30 (61/31). There are a lot of parallels between Paul's strength in Iowa and Barack Obama's in 2008- he's doing well with new voters, young voters, and non-Republican voters:
-59% of likely voters participated in the 2008 Republican caucus and they support Gingrich 26-18. But among the 41% of likely voters who are 'new' for 2012 Paul leads Gingrich 25-17 with Romney at 16%. Paul is doing a good job of bringing out folks who haven't done this before.
-He's also very strong with young voters. Among likely caucus goers under 45 Paul is up 30-16 on Gingrich. With those over 45, Gingrich leads him 26-15 with Romney at 17%.
-Among Republicans Gingrich leads Paul 25-17. But with voters who identify as Democrats or independents, 21% of the electorate in a year with no action on the Democratic side, Paul leads Gingrich 34-14 with Romney at 17%.
Young voters, independents, and folks who haven't voted in caucuses before is an unusual coalition for a Republican candidate...the big question is whether these folks will really come out and vote...if they do, we could be in for a big upset.
Paul's supporters are considerably more committed to him than Gingrich's are. 77% of current Paul voters say they're definitely going to vote for him, compared to only 54% for Gingrich. Romney has much more solid support than Gingrich as well, 67% of his voters saying they're with him for the long haul. Among only voters who say their mind's totally made up, 29% support Paul to 21% for Gingrich, 18% for Romney, and 11% for Bachmann.
Like Romney, there's been little change in Michele Bachmann's standing over the last week. Her favorability was +21 (56/35). Now it's +18 (55/37). She's gone from 13% support to 11%.
Rick Perry generated a ton of attention in the last week with his ad decrying the repeal of 'Don't Ask, Don't Tell' and the 'War on Christmas,' but it hasn't done much for his poll standing. He was at 9% and he's still at 9%. His favorability numbers are under water with 43% of likely voters viewing him favorably to 47% with a negative opinion. The only Republican who's less well regarded is Jon Huntsman. Only 41% of Iowa Republicans even oppose gays serving in the military to 28% who support it and 31% unsure...and Perry's only tied for fourth even with those who are opposed, behind Gingrich, Bachmann, and Paul.
Other Notes:
-52% of likely voters claim to have watched the debate in Des Moines on Saturday night. Although I'm skeptical that many really watched, it does speak to how influential the debates have been in this race.
-Republicans continue to think Gingrich is the most electable candidate. 30% think it's him to 21% for Romney, and 14% for Paul with no one else in double digits.
-Here's a finding that helps explain why Mitt Romney's struggling so much: 31% of voters have a favorable opinion of the Republican establishment and an equal 31% have an unfavorable one with 38% unsure. When Romney rolls out endorsement after endorsement, to a lot of voters that's actually coming across as a negative thing. With those anti-establishment voters Paul's at 34% to 18% for Gingrich, 12% for Santorum, and only 10% for Romney.
-39% of voters think that Mitt Romney has stronger values to 18% for Newt Gingrich. 43% aren't sure and that's pretty telling.
-Finally we threw in a Tim Tebow favorability question for part of the field period. He comes out at a net +35 (48/13), making him more popular than any of the actual candidates. Maybe in 2024...
Our next weekly Iowa poll with be out on Monday the 19th.
Full results here
Can you ask about ethanol next Iowa poll? It's conventional wisdom that candidates have to genuflect before it to compete in the caucuses but it would be interesting to see how true that really is these days.
Posted by: DP | December 13, 2011 at 02:42 PM
What is the margin if error for your sample?
Posted by: Kevin Patrick | December 13, 2011 at 03:09 PM
Think this will get the media to change their under and overtones of he can win? Report the facts, not your opinions! Thanks for the polling PPP!
Posted by: Robert Albrecht | December 13, 2011 at 03:14 PM
Lol, Paul at 21%. What a joke. No way. PPP is on a mission to lose all credibility.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 03:26 PM
Why Republicans allow Democrats to vote in our primaries and caucuses is beyond me. In a year where there is no Democrat Caucus they simply go in and vote for the candidate least likely to beat Obama. Republicans are IDIOTS for allowing this.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 03:28 PM
MANY polls have shown Ron Paul as having the best chance to beat Obama… what is Newt or Romney going to say to Obama that isn’t hypocritical to any position they have once had themselves i.e. Support for individual mandate, support for TARP, ect.
No one is even close to Paul who proposes a $1 Trillion cut in the FIRST YEAR and a balanced budget in 3 years ALL without dinging Medicare or promises to returning troops something even Obama can’t claim..
Posted by: Tim_DFW | December 13, 2011 at 03:42 PM
So it looks like Newt lost 8 points on Intrade over one silly PPP poll. Too funny.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 03:45 PM
With those anti-establishment voters Paul's at 34% to 18% for Gingrich, 12% for Santorum, and only 10% for Romney.
Wow, that's clear. I guess Ron Paul isn't unelectable after all.
Posted by: Liberty Vids | December 13, 2011 at 03:46 PM
LOL, Gingrich still has 22%. What a joke. No way. PPP Is on a mission to lose all credibility.
Don't be an idiot.
Posted by: Phil | December 13, 2011 at 03:46 PM
My prediction for Iowa:
Paul: 29%
Ronmey: 18%
Gingrich: 18%
Everyone else: 35%
Posted by: BrooklynChick | December 13, 2011 at 03:47 PM
Garry Johnson
Posted by: Arthur | December 13, 2011 at 03:49 PM
"Lol, Paul at 21%. What a joke. No way. PPP is on a mission to lose all credibility."
Sounds like someone is in denial...
Posted by: Erich | December 13, 2011 at 03:50 PM
Great News!
Ron Paul will win Iowa at 30%.
Posted by: RonPaul.se | December 13, 2011 at 03:54 PM
I'm glad Cain isn't around anymore. That dude was annoying as hell with his $9.99 deal to fix America.
Posted by: BrooklynChick | December 13, 2011 at 03:54 PM
Bill is an idiot. Paul will make an upset win in iowa and he will be eating his words.
Posted by: james cook | December 13, 2011 at 03:58 PM
Bill, you are in for a surprise. Ron Paul will not only win, but will do a lot better than 21%.
Mainstream media LIES, CONSTANTLY. They do not want Ron Paul to win, and neither do their zombies. Do yourself a favor and turn off your TV. Get some real information on the internet. You won't sound so typical or so ill-informed.
Posted by: D | December 13, 2011 at 03:58 PM
I'm so glad to see that Dr. Paul is doing well. I guess in part, it's due to the Independents and the Democrats. Most Democrats are crossing over to vote for him in the primaries because of his anti-war stance. Under Ron Paul we will only go to war if it's necessary and that appeals to a lot of Dems. He also has a great plan to get us out of this financial mess that we are in. PPP, thanks for maintaining integrity and for sharing honest results with us.
Posted by: Rikki | December 13, 2011 at 04:02 PM
The Independent voter's for Paul are a good indication they will be voting for Paul in the General Election. If you no nothing about Ron Paul except what the network and cable channels have told you, you essentially know nothing about Paul. These are not cross-overs looking to set Obama up for an easy win. Obama would much rather run agains the crony Newt or the bland Mit. Check the Progressive web news, they continue to try and convince there base to not vote for Paul in the Primaries. Why do you think that is? Because he has much greater potential to capture the middle ground. GOP candidates running on "More War and More Torture" will die a painful death in the general election. Check your history, after 10 years of fighting the electorate sours on wars.
Posted by: Rick Duffin | December 13, 2011 at 04:05 PM
Ron Paul will finish far above 21% and that is no joke. Unlike Gingrich and the other "flavors of the week" who the establishment and the media pundits have tried to tell us to vote for, Paul has reason steadily and will continue to do so. His organization in Iowa is second to none as is the fervor of his supporters. Plus, his support is solid and will stick with him.
It's a good thing Democrats and Independents ARE allowed to vote in the caucus. They also vote in the general election and without disaffected Democrats and the Independents, the GOP candidate has no chance of defeating Obama.
Posted by: Tony Isaacs | December 13, 2011 at 04:05 PM
Ron Paul's numbers have, and will, only continue to rise. He's the only one who has risen rather than drop in these so called "polls". I believe his numbers are a lot higher than these polls even indicate. Be ready for his win, because it's coming, America is waking up!
Posted by: The Answer to 1984 is 1776 | December 13, 2011 at 04:07 PM
GO get em Ron!
Ill be donating again to the money bomb on the 16th. And I encourage all of you to do the same. Lets show the banks who is the boss.
Ron Paul or Bust!
Posted by: aaron | December 13, 2011 at 04:07 PM
Ok Paulbots, think about this. The ONLY reason Paul is even close to Newt in this poll is because Democrats are being polled. Now do you honestly think Democrats would vote for someone they thought could beat Obama?
Wake up.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 04:16 PM
I bet you $10,000 Newt wins Iowa in a walk. :)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 04:20 PM
Ron Paul 2012!
Obama sold us story, and Ron Paul will now deliver! Neocons are doing everything in their power to try and silence Ron Paul, but what they FAIL to understand, Ron Paul is the VOICE OF THE PEOPLE! This was the case with Obama in 2008, but Obama was a lying puppet - Ron Paul 30 year history provides assurance that he will get the job done!
Posted by: Phil | December 13, 2011 at 04:22 PM
Bill, Go drive around Iowa and count yard signs and bumper stickers. Paul signs and stickers are everywhere, I have yet to see a single sign or sticker for any other canidate. This poll isn't wrong.
Posted by: Josh in Iowa | December 13, 2011 at 04:24 PM
Bill, I'm a republican who voted for McCain in the 08 election and Ron Paul is my choice for President. This notion that his numbers are being augmented by Democrats is simply an unfair accusation and completely untrue. He also has the best chance to beat Obama because Ron Paul will get many Independents and Democrats to vote for him, along with the full force of the Republican party. It has been proven that any other Republican candidate would lose by nearly double digits to Obama because of their unpopular war policies.
Posted by: Equilibrium1736 | December 13, 2011 at 04:30 PM
It's apparent that Ron Paul has the support needed to win this. Anyone in denial will be sorely disappointed. Get on the winning team while you can and do what is right for this country. How could you in good conscience choose any other candidate is beyond me.
Check out this site for the next Ron Paul money bomb!
http://www.teaparty11.com
Posted by: Alabama Politics | December 13, 2011 at 04:33 PM
He's catching on...I'm tellin ya
Posted by: Wolf | December 13, 2011 at 04:40 PM
Bill, did it ever occur to you that independents and disappointed democrats have come around to Paul's philosophy? Fellating Israel, starting unconstitutional wars, and acting like liberals is what has doomed the Republican party, not republicanism.
Posted by: John | December 13, 2011 at 04:43 PM
Bill M. are you from AL?
Posted by: Jordan W | December 13, 2011 at 04:43 PM
Bill Mitchell --- If Democrats were voting in this poll/caucus to help Obama win they would be voting for Gingrich. Gingrich running away with the nomination is the best case scenario for Obama.
The Dems & Indies voting for Ron Paul in this poll and who will be voting for him on January 3rd are people who would vote for Ron Paul in the General Election (as the Republican nominee or as a 3rd party candidate.) Ron Paul has real crossover appeal... and he also has real appeal to people who are otherwise disenchanted with politics (people who wouldn't normally vote.)
Don't get me wrong - I am an Obama supporter and I will be voting for Obama in November, but I respect Ron Paul and I definitely understand the appeal. He is speaking the truth on a lot of subjects that mainstream politicians (including Obama) simply do not.
Posted by: Obama 2012 | December 13, 2011 at 04:44 PM
Bill Mitchell is flat out wrong, and clearly didn't bother to examine the data provided along with the results. Even among people who voted in the 2008 Republican caucus, Gingrich is only leading Paul 26-18, hardly a slam dunk. The important thing about the Paul candidacy is that it is a transpartisan movement. That's why he could easily win the general election. He can appeal to the entire political spectrum.
Posted by: Joe M | December 13, 2011 at 04:47 PM
No signs here either, hell half of Alabama doesn't realize an election is coming up. But those who do have their Ron Paul signs up proudly.
Posted by: Alabama Politics | December 13, 2011 at 04:48 PM
And yes Bill, many democrats are disappointed with Obama's performance (not even really the word to describe his term as it was more like a soccer player taking a fake dive) and they see beyond party lines and into the truth that is Ron Paul.
Posted by: Alabama Politics | December 13, 2011 at 04:51 PM
After Rep. Ron Paul wins Iowa and comes in 1st or 2nd in NH, will the media finally embrace the man who should be our next president? No they wont. It's up to us to make sure we allow people to get the reality when it comes to the only candidate who is working to make America better for us, the people.
Posted by: Jeremy | December 13, 2011 at 04:52 PM
I predict Ron Paul will win Iowa by 42%
Posted by: Urielsword | December 13, 2011 at 04:56 PM
Ron Paul will pull the majority on Independents and Blue Republicans (Democrats) which typically not represented in these polls. Additionally, the demographic that Ron Paul owns (18 - 35) typically do not have land lines and are not represented either. So, the fact that Dr. Paul is doing this well without these to key demographics means one thing. LANDSLIDE VICTORY FOR RON PAUL IN IOWA! America is waking up! Freedom lives and so will our Republic!
Posted by: Bryan Black | December 13, 2011 at 05:05 PM
Bill... If you bother reading to open the full study, you'll notice question 34 is
"Q34 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3."
Democrat 4%
Republican 78%
Independent/Other 17%
And you're talking to an independent who voted obama in '08, and who'll be voting Ron Paul in '12. Just get over it, he's the one.
Posted by: GamerAndy | December 13, 2011 at 05:06 PM
"Paul-bot"... I don't like being labeled some kind of autonomous political follower... I've been so bothered by the things I continually find out about our government, I've pulled countless all-nighters researching and pouring over world news and history. Ron Paul is the only candidate who resonates my feelings. There are no "BOTS" in the Paul camp. The only "bots" around here are the people spewing the same lines that we're handed to them by fox and CNN news.
Posted by: Eric | December 13, 2011 at 05:12 PM
RON PAUL 2012!!!
Posted by: Rick | December 13, 2011 at 05:15 PM
Just out of curiosity, what do you think is the reason that a lot more Republican caucusgoers seem to remember voting for McCain? Is it because McCain caucusgoers are more likely to vote in this election, or have "caucusgoers" confused the caucus and the general election and incorrectly remember voting for McCain since he was the Republican nominee?
Posted by: Ipp Freely | December 13, 2011 at 05:24 PM
Ron Paul = Jew Hater
Posted by: Blintz | December 13, 2011 at 05:31 PM
Here are the top 3 excuses those that don't see the revolution coming will use:
1. Democrats voted
2. He did not really win.
3. I can't...I can't remember...Oops.
Posted by: Sergio | December 13, 2011 at 05:41 PM
All you Ron Paul supporters need to quit assuming anything and get to work or guaranteed it'll end up just like last time... And don't whine about it if he loses and you didn't at the very least donate let alone volunteer. Get off your asses and make sure it happens this time, don't sit around spouting off about how you're going to win shit, cause that's how you lose shit.
Posted by: Dr.Doolittle | December 13, 2011 at 05:45 PM
Democrats crossing party lines to vote for Paul in republican primaries and caucuses may want an alternative to Obama for themselves as well.
Paul is actually the strongest candidate against Obama. The Gingrich-Romney-Perry-Bachmann crowd would vote for Paul to get rid of Obama. And Paul would pick up independents and disaffected democrats.
However, few if any Paul supporters, myself included, will vote for a Gingrich-Romney-Perry-Bachmann.
If the republican nominee is anyone other than Paul, Obama will be re-elected.
Posted by: dom youngross | December 13, 2011 at 05:46 PM
@blintz. Wow that was special. My family is Jewish, my children are Jewish; but, we are not appendages of the US Government. I think Ron Paul Loves Jews. He recognizes their destiny; their sovereignty.
You want the Jews to be US puppets? Why should Israel kiss the A$$ of the US?
Don't find that in the Torah!
KOCH
Posted by: Skip | December 13, 2011 at 05:49 PM
@Blintz - If you can prove that to me without a doubt, i will take my Independent 2008 vote for Obama, currently slated for Ron Paul and give it to Newt. Otherwise my "temporary" change to Republican for the primaries will be to vote RP as the nominee..
Posted by: DWise | December 13, 2011 at 05:51 PM
"Bill, I'm a republican who voted for McCain in the 08 election and Ron Paul is my choice for President. This notion that his numbers are being augmented by Democrats is simply an unfair accusation and completely untrue."
Um, did you even read the article? Newt leads 25-17 amongst Republicans. Democrats are THE reason Paul is even close to Newt.
Add to this the fact that PPP has never conducted a poll in their existence where they didn't oversample Democrats and there you have it.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 05:58 PM
NO WAY can Newt Gingrich be at "22%"
...you can't trust the media - real ppl KNOW the guy is a a serial flip-flopper and hypocrite.
...RON PAUL is truly the guy at the top - he's always been
Posted by: Josiah-David | December 13, 2011 at 06:08 PM
Ron Paul, if elected, will be the only president who knows about monetary system.
Posted by: Mike | December 13, 2011 at 06:09 PM
Ron Paul = The only candidate that respects Israel's sovereignty.
Posted by: Sqwidman | December 13, 2011 at 06:13 PM
and all they can say are racial remarks and hateful things about Ron Paul supporters because they have nothing else to say,and that's why i became a Ron Paul supporter after seeing how they were trying to take everything he was saying out of context. I can't understand why anyone would support Newt or Romney after seeing their records.
Posted by: daniel | December 13, 2011 at 06:15 PM
The fiscal conservatives will wrestle the GOP back from the big government progressives like Mitt and Newt! Newt would be a better fit as Obama's VP!
Posted by: Deet Walters | December 13, 2011 at 06:20 PM
nice to see all the americans are for Ron Paul
It would be nice to have a country again
Posted by: Rion Clark | December 13, 2011 at 06:26 PM
The republican party would be a losing fool if they tried to snuff out the largest grassroots groundswell ever in the history of the US, to go with some flip flopping DUD that has zero passion behind them. Ron Paul enters the general election with at least one million dedicated full time volunteer campaign operatives! There is no where that could ever lose the general election. Paul will be the first honest politician in my lifetime to serve as President.
Posted by: Deet Walters | December 13, 2011 at 06:27 PM
Two Democratic state chairs were just on TV wishing that Newt would win, they said Newt would be the easiest to beat in the general election. Anyone pushing Newt needs to remember the sourness in the pit of the stomach when Obama was sworn in, because that's where the Newt road leads!
Posted by: Deet Walters | December 13, 2011 at 06:31 PM
Hey, I'm not only a "Paulbot," I'm also a dyed-in-the-wool global warming denialist. (I also object to the Church of Antismokerism and the insane war on drugs.)
The Good Doctor has said on several occasions that he has no intentions of running third party.
In any case, I've already declared my intent - if The Good Doctor _doesn't_ get the nomination, I will write him in, assuming our Glorious Beloved Infallible Commissar hasn't banned the write-in vote or suspended the elections or something.
Posted by: Rich Grise | December 13, 2011 at 06:31 PM
First of all, I'm skeptical of this poll result.
That said, Paul is totally unelectable. If he wins the Iowa caucuses, it will cement Iowa's reputation as completely irrelevant, and probably start a movement in the GOP to demote Iowa from the front of the pack.
Posted by: The Interesting Times | December 13, 2011 at 06:37 PM
Blintz get your facts together before you type something idiotic again.
Netanyahu just a couple of months ago espoused rhetoric closer to Paul's foreign policy than any of the other candidates. Check youtube and read this. Israel doesnt want or need our help anymore. We are a hinderance.
Paul supported Israel's strikes on Iraq's nuclear facilities years ago. He was almost the only one. Hardly someone who seems to be spouting the Jew hating rhetoric.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/25/world/middleeast/25diplo.html
Posted by: Joe | December 13, 2011 at 06:38 PM
Everyone on the fence with Ron Paul needs to check out whyronpaul.com and ronpaulmyths.com
Posted by: sovereign | December 13, 2011 at 06:41 PM
OK LETS SET SOME THINGS STRAIGHT.
RON PAUL AND JEWS.
IF YOUR JEWISH, DO YOU WANT ANOTHER COUNTRY TELLING YOU PRESIDENT WHAT TO DO ? I THINK NOT.
THAT'S RON PAUL STANCE. MORE SOVEREIGNTY FOR ISRAEL.
DOES PAUL WANT TO BUY ISRAELI WITH OFF WITH 3 BILLIONS ANNUALLY, NO.
IF I WAS JEWISH I WOULD WANT THE CORRUPT USA OUT ASAP.
IS PAUL GOING TO WIN IOWA ? OF COURSE HE IS, HIS POLL NUMBERS NEVER GO DOWN.
MITT, I MEAN WILLARD ROMNEY, YEP HIS WENT DOWN
NEWT, I MEAN SERIAL HYPOCRITE, I MEAN SOCIOPATH GO DOWN ?
YEP HE IS FALLING HARDCORE.
PERRY LOL, HE CANT REMEMBER WHERE HE LIVES LET ALONE WHAT TO SAY.
I THINK THE FOLLOWING AND I WOULD LIKE SOME FEEDBACK.
I HAVE BEEN CLOSELY WATCHING THE CORPORATE MEDIA. I THINK THEY ARE MAKING POLL NUMBERS UP. I THINK THEY HAVE ALL ALONG.
REMEMBER PERRY CAME OUT ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY HE IS A FRONT RUNNER. YA BS, MEDIA FRAUD ALL OVER.
OK SO LETS LOOK OUTSIDE THE CORPORATE MEDIA,
RON PAUL WON CPAC 2 YEARS IN A ROW. HAS WON ALMOST EVER POLL ONLINE FOR THE LAST TWO YEARS STRAIGHT.
GIANT CROWDS EVERYWHERE SCREAMING RON PAUL, IN EVERY CITY THAT MATTERS.
MATTER OF FACT I CANT FIND A SINGLE VID OF LARGE GROUPS OF PEOPLE FOR ANYONE ELSE.
PAUL AGAINST OBAMA ????? OBAMA IS OVER. HE HAS LIED ON CAMERA MULTIPLE TIMES, BEEN CAUGHT AND REPUDIATED,
RESIDED OVER THE LARGEST SPENDING SPREE IN AMERICAN HISTORY.
HIS WIFE HAS SPENT 10 MILLIONS + TAX PAYER DOLLARS IN A ECONOMIC DEPRESSION. WHILE ENTIRE FAMILIES ARE LOOSING THEIR LIVELIHOODS.
OBAMA HAS BEEN A FRAUD FROM DAY ONE.
AND THE BLACK PEOPLE, OH MAN, THEY TOOK IT THE HARDEST, WE ALL GOT TAKEN BUT MAN, BLACK PEOPLE REALLY GOT THE SHAFT.
HOPE AND CHANGE, GOT NO HOPE AND TOOK THE LAST CHANGE IN YOUR POCKETS.
OBAMA SHOULD BE ASHAMED OF WHAT HE HAS DONE.
****EPIC FAILURE****
WHO HAS STOOD TALL FOR 30 YEARS, WHO OBEYS THE OATH OF DEFENDING OUR CONSTITUTION OVER HIS OWN PARTY ?
THE ONLY ONE
IS RON PAUL.
THAT LITTLE OLD MAN HAS TAKEN A ASS WHOOPIN TO SEE THAT WE DONT GET ENSLAVED, HAS BEEN CALLED EVER BAD NAME YOU CAN IMAGINE.
BEEN CALL FRINGE, COOK, NUT, UNELECTABLE, WRONG AND EVEN THE PEOPLE BASH HIM.
LOOK HERE http://www.youtube.com/user/mjs1231#p/f/1/kAulpWLZC2Y
HE HAS BEEN RIGHT ALL ALONG BUT FEW LISTENED.
LETS MAKE THE FOUNDERS OF THE UNITED STATES ONCE AGAIN PROUD OF THEIR CHILDREN.
RON PAUL 2012
Posted by: WHORPER | December 13, 2011 at 06:41 PM
One other thing I noticed: Santorum is at 8%, a real improvement and his highest showing yet in Iowa. Santorum also isn't that far behind in the new Virginia poll.
A few analysts have suggested that Santorum could get his day in the sun if Newt implodes. We may be seeing the first inklings of that.
Posted by: The Interesting Times | December 13, 2011 at 06:48 PM
Blintz = idiot who doesn't understand Paul's positions
Posted by: papajohn56 | December 13, 2011 at 06:55 PM
Now that you are using a LV screen, is it safe to assume that Q1 is the extent of it?
Posted by: Todd Dugdale | December 13, 2011 at 06:56 PM
I have never donated to any political campaign before, but I have been donating regularly to Ron Paul's campaign. He is a beacon of light in an otherwise bleak world.
Mainstream media - Go to hell.
Ron Paul for President in 2012!!!
Posted by: D | December 13, 2011 at 07:16 PM
All you people that are laughing at Ron Paul are going to get a rude awakening on 3 January 2012. Ron Paul has tremondous support from active duty military, as well as veterans and I am a veteran as well. Maybe the naysayers should get themselves a pocket Constitution and educate themselves about the role of government and the Bill of Rights, etc.
Posted by: Patrick Lee | December 13, 2011 at 07:17 PM
Ron Paul is not a Jew Hater Ron Paul wants the USA to telling Israel what to do. Israel would also like the USA to stop telling them what to do.
Posted by: Mike smith | December 13, 2011 at 07:19 PM
It seems there are a lot of former Obama supporters commenting. I was also a supporter (and contributor) of Obama. I was disappointed in him after he put the bankers in charge of TARP and choose not to go after the CEOs and executives who caused the meltdown. I just lost faith in him after that. Dr. Paul, I've found, proposes many of the things to solve our financial crisis that I had decided were necessary to bring us back to national sanity. These include returning our troops home, halting ALL foreign aid, cutting back on federal spending (the Department of Education shouldn't have been created), and reforming our tax laws.
I'm retired, a lifelong vote. I won't vote for anyone but Paul in either the NC primary or the general election. It's just not worth it anymore.
Posted by: Allen | December 13, 2011 at 07:36 PM
I can see Ron Paul winning Iowa by 84%
Posted by: Joe Winters | December 13, 2011 at 07:36 PM
Blintnz = jew that was paid to hit blogs with this BS propaganda.
I dont live in israel, I care about the US FIRST, if you love israel so much because they apparently do so much for us (like gets thousands of americans killed in their wars and rape the american people with their usury banking practices) THEN MOVE TO ISRAEL! good riddance!
Posted by: Justus Washington | December 13, 2011 at 07:38 PM
Anyone that calls Ron Paul Anti-Semitic is Anti-Christian (Benjamin Netanyahu agrees with Ron Paul's foreign policy)...that Progressive Cultural Marxism doesn't work here...Ron Paul's principle and devotion to the Constitution stands above name-calling. BRING IT HOME IOWA!!! MAKE IT A BLOW-OUT!!! THE WORLD IS WATCHING...MAKE HISTORY!!! LIBERTY-RISING!!!
Posted by: krhteaparty | December 13, 2011 at 07:42 PM
YEP quit listening to the media don't be one of the ones that are running on empty (brain dept) And don't be a sewer spewer Ron Paul is no Jew hater He is like all of us with a full tank why pay for there protection its not like they don't have it Don't be stupid enough to pay your own way to America's destruction Vote Ron Paul be honest and smart this time . RON PAUL 2012
Posted by: Kim Bartlett | December 13, 2011 at 07:42 PM
Ron Paul would be well over 50% if the mainstream media actually talked about issues and where people stand.
Posted by: Robert Polakiewicz | December 13, 2011 at 07:49 PM
Newt is gereat! Barry is great! "Four more wars!" "Four more wars!" "Four more wars!" "Four more wars!" The greater the death toll the greater the Keynesian recovery. Ron Paul knows nothing of economics and he's probably not a real doctor either -- just like his son.
Posted by: St. Estephe | December 13, 2011 at 07:53 PM
Sure, there are Democrats that will show for the caucus but the number of Registered Republicans in Iowa has increased significantly. Who do you think has a movement that is bringing former independents and Democrats over to the Republican party? Hint: it sure isn't Newt Romney.
Posted by: Craig Williams | December 13, 2011 at 07:55 PM
Sure, Blintz. Whatever you say.
Open Letter to the Republican Jewish Coalition on Ron Paul
http://www.lewrockwell.com/block/block186.html
Posted by: Ryan | December 13, 2011 at 08:06 PM
This poll is more correct than others by the media, but I still think that it's off. There's just no way the Grinch is going to hang on to any kind of lead against THE MAN, THE MAIN MAN, Dr. Ron Paul. Since I've met THE MAN many times now, I am confident in my belief that he is the ONLY one who can get the job done. Ron Paul supporters cannot be cornered like so many on the "left and right" - they are so varied! I'm not religious, but some are. It's amazing the response I'm getting now from people when I mention him. Whoever uses the term "Paulbots" deserves it right back at them. So go ahead those of you who cannot develop anything better to say - because I'll lay it out right now at your expense - every Paul supporte I've ever met (hundreds by now) has READ, WATCHED, LISTENED.....very intently to our current situation in our nation.......and they are NOT the kind of people who simply "follow" the leader. They are the most brilliant (way beyond me). History and principles matter - which is why we all wrote Ron's name in last time even when it wasn't allowed or counted. This ain't Obama or McCain, baby.....This right here......this one's for real.
Posted by: Christopher | December 13, 2011 at 08:25 PM
6 minute interview with Ron Paul on Israel, and middle eastern foreign policy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jFZpL8F4FgU
Should clear up all this confusion
Posted by: GamerAndy | December 13, 2011 at 08:29 PM
Ron Paul is the only candidate that takes seriously his oath to the constitution. That alone earns my vote and
excludes the others.
If I did not join the revolution, my children would point to this day and ask me, What did you do?
Please Vote For Ron Paul!! Fight for your rights!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QiKh9Ko3mw4&feature=player_embedded
Posted by: Linda Jamison | December 13, 2011 at 08:35 PM
Gingrich 2012. Hi, my name is bill mitchell. I am a paid troll for the gop. I am a total loser that is cringefully obsolete. I say words like paulbot; which, if you have a pulse, that nobody actually uses that word.
Basically, I dont care who wins. All I want to see is either newts fat butt or mitts hot face in office.
Posted by: bill_mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 08:36 PM
I won't vote for anyone else but Paul. I'm sick of government that won't follow it's own law- the Constitution, and outside of this logical restriction creates an entire array of laws, cabinets, departments, bureaucracies, regulations, wars and insane national debt. No one else is presently qualified to handle all these issues. Only one has an actual consistent 30 year voting record on every one of these issues. Donate to Ron's campaign! Invest in sanity and freedom!
Posted by: sbobhigain | December 13, 2011 at 08:38 PM
I won't vote for anyone else. I'm sick of government that won't follow it's own law- the Constitution, and outside of this logical restriction creates an entire array of laws, cabinets, departments, bureaucracies, regulations, wars and insane national debt. No one else is presently qualified to handle all these issues. Only one has an actual consistent 30 year voting record on every one of these issues. Donate to Ron's campaign! Invest in sanity and freedom!
Posted by: sbob | December 13, 2011 at 08:40 PM
Ron Paul = America-Lover !!!!
Posted by: Mike P | December 13, 2011 at 08:44 PM
Was out petitioning for Paul in Illinois this week. Remove the usual, you owe me something, Chicago south side and the support for Paul was overwhelming.
This pole just matches what is being said here and he has the biggest chance to pull it off. He is the only one with the consistent message. Amazing how some criticize Paul for this value, but yet Newt steals $30 million out of Fannie May before the '08 crash and they all seem to turn a blind eye. Wake up..... we need massive restoration, forget the change!!
RON PAUL 2012
Posted by: Mike | December 13, 2011 at 09:06 PM
Another one for Bill. I'm a former Democrat (since 06') that will be voting for the good doctor this go round regardless if he gets the nomination or not... and I'm not alone.
Posted by: Chad | December 13, 2011 at 09:11 PM
I can't wait until Dr. Paul wins on Jan. 3! Please give to the money bomb on December 16th!
Posted by: Abigail Gross | December 13, 2011 at 09:28 PM
As an Iowan, I will say this is an accurate read of the current trends. I still hope Bachmann will put forth a plan and climb out of the cellar, because if she doesn't Ron Paul will win Iowa.
Posted by: Lynn Farrington | December 13, 2011 at 10:02 PM
I am a democrat, and paul is the only candidate that I will vote for. I like his views on having states handle certain issues individually. For some reason my daughter was able to convince me to just check out a few of his views, and I am impressed. I hope everyone takes a look at where we are, and where we want to be, and realizes Ron Paul is our only shot at getting this right. Thanks Jess for helping me see the candidate that the main media has tried, and continues, to hide.
Posted by: alice mae | December 13, 2011 at 11:00 PM
Ron Paul grew up on a farm and also served in the military. Ron is kind, smart, and honest. Those are core American Values. And we do not have to worry about him flip flopping on the issues.
Ron understands how the HUGE DEBT threatens us all. He has a serious plan to reduce it.
Posted by: Roy | December 13, 2011 at 11:19 PM
I was one those democrates that switched parties to vote for RonPaul in the primaries.I truly believe that Ron Paul is our last chance to get it right.It is finally nice to find a place that is not lieing about Ron Paul.I can't tell you how i feel about the media's treatment of Mr Paul.It totally digusts me.America wake up and support Mr Paul and put the media in their place.It is time to shut them down for trying to rigg the election.The media needs to stay out of politics and report the truth period.
Posted by: Ted Patrick | December 13, 2011 at 11:20 PM
Rom all the Paulbots excited about this poll, ARG just came out with a new poll showing Newt +10 over Paul. As a matter of fact, here is a list of the last 5 polls:
Insider Advantage 12/12 - 12/12 517 LV Gingrich +10
PPP (D) 12/11 - 12/13 555 LV Gingrich +1
Univ. of Iowa 11/30 - 12/7 277 LV Gingrich +10
CNN/Time 11/29 - 12/6 419 LV Gingrich +13
CBS News/NY Times 11/30 - 12/5 642 RV Gingrich +14
Clearly this PPP poll showing Gingrich only +1 is a wild outlier. So relax, your guy has no chance.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 11:55 PM
If Ron Paul didn't look and act so much like everyone's crazy uncle he would have a better chance.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell | December 13, 2011 at 11:58 PM
Hey Bill Mitchell, you're an idiot.
You can only see the world in dual-chrome - Democrat/Republican, Left/Right, Blue/Red...whatever.
That is the most dumbest (or intentionally devious) way of looking at things.
I'm a democrat who doesn't give a crap about Obama (and all charade he has been pulling with crony Bernanke/Geithner/Holder gang).
I voted for Obama in 2008.
Effective 2012, I hate Obama. He has turned out to be a prostitute for Federal Reserve/big bankers AND military industrial complex.
Ron Paul 2012!!!!
Posted by: The_chiefe71 | December 14, 2011 at 12:57 AM
VOTE FOR RON PAUL!
Save the America...
Posted by: agape | December 14, 2011 at 01:24 AM
I am not a Republican, as I am quite liberal, but I will still be caucusing and voting for Ron Paul. After watching the debates and listening to his message, as an educated man, I have to vote for him. He is the only person who actually adheres to what the founding fathers wanted for our nation. Anyone remember the Monroe Doctrine? He is the ONLY consistent candidate in the race, and he is the only person who can pull large groups of independents and democrats to the race. No other person stands a chance against Obama, because they are all too radical in their positions. Another war in Iran? Syria? Stay in Iraq? Afghanistan? Pakistan? Next is China and Africa. We are building an empire here people. Imperialism is too costly and it always fails. We have seen this time and time again in the history books. Why are we educated if not to make informed decisions? Ron Paul is the only person in the race who has been bipartisan, while keeping his constitutional values, and not voting to raise taxes. Ever. Who else has that kind of record? I've had a hard time supporting Obama, even prior to his nomination- just never felt he was genuine. But I absolutely could not support any of the other candidates. Ron Paul will veto anything unconstitutional. He is the only person who can get our country back on track.
Posted by: Jay Burken | December 14, 2011 at 01:45 AM
Blintz, OK so let me get this straight:
Ron Paul states that his life changed when in medical school he looked into economic theories of an Austrain Jew: Ludwig van Mises. And he never looked back since. Must be some Jew hater, huh??
In later life, he's had strong associations with more Jewish economists/political scientists in the "Austrian von Mises school" mold: Walter Block, Peter Schiff. Wow, what a strong Jew hater to be associating with Jewish people.
But wait, there's more! On his foreign policy views, he has always had 100% support of notable Jewish people such as: Noam Chomsky, Aaron Russo (who is now dead).
Wow!!! It's an extremely impressive straw-man case you built for the renowned "Jew hater".
Posted by: The_chiefe71 | December 14, 2011 at 01:46 AM
Bill has nothing of substance to offer to this discussion. Quit responding to him, and he will fade into the darkness, like all attention-seekers.
Posted by: Superfluid | December 14, 2011 at 02:54 AM
I'm sorry, but if you are voting for Obama, or any republican candidate other that Ron Paul, you really need to have your head examined.
To vote for Obama is to pretend like he hasn't brought the country to the verge of ruin the past three years. You can say Bush gave him a problematic economy to work with. That's fair. But it's not Bush's fault that he doubled the debt in 3 years that the country had accumulated in the 100 years prior. Doubled 100 years worth of debt in 3 years. And he acts unilaterally, without the Congress, and takes marching orders from the UN.
And to support Newt of Romney is just plain lazy. Their records are horrible. Just horrible. I remember a time when people would have been horrified to think of the US invading other countries... just 15 years ago! Now, it's expected!
If you don't like Ron Paul because the news tells you not to, or because he doesn't want to invade Iran (practically a 3rd world country), or because he just flat out follows the Constitution, you are riding the neocon expressway that is driving further and further away from the ideals of the Republican party, and from the vision of our Founders. It's shameful to watch.
Posted by: Matt | December 14, 2011 at 03:13 AM
Ron Paul is a joke, please people wise up. Support the most qualified candidate with proven record, and he is Gov. Rick Perry. It's time for conservative voters to coalesce around the only truly viable candidate, and that's Rick Perry. He will get better in these crappy debate formats, and he will ultimately defeat Obama. Rick Perry is definitely the quintessential Come-Back Kid. He was GREAT on Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace and spoke with confidence and knowledge about all the issues, in spite of old Chris trying to get a "Gotcha."
Welcome back, Governor! Perry – 2012
Posted by: nancy sabet | December 14, 2011 at 07:05 AM
I think its hilarious that there are Republicans here who think that Mitt, or Newt or Michelle or one of the Ricks can beat Obama. Ron Paul is our only hope at ending Obama in the coming election and thats ONLY because hes such a wild card. You know how many idiots vote democrat just because thy are anti war and pro dope smoking? Most of them, and they can all feel safe under Ron Pauls Republican Party Tent. How many democrats are Christians and Catholics that are against Gay Marriage and Abortion, but vote democrat because they believe that Democrats are anti war?
Posted by: jay r | December 14, 2011 at 07:56 AM