Polls

Gore would beat Bush in Florida today, Tebow very popular

| Dustin Ingalls

Header-poll-results
Raleigh, N.C. –
The 2000 presidential election recount in Florida is still a divisive topic, but after the results of the resulting Bush presidency are clear, Sunshine State voters would have preferred to have elected Al Gore over George W. Bush by three points (48-45) if they could do it over now.  Independents prefer Gore by the same margin.

Florida ended its ban on gay residents adopting children last fall, but the issue still splits voters.  45% think that was the right move, but 43% think gay couples should still not be able to raise children.  Independents are pretty strongly for it (50-36), but more Democrats (34%) disagree with the decision than Republicans agree (27%).  As is the case on most social policies, the youngest voters (53-41) are most progressive, and the oldest voters least (39-48).

There is a push to expand legal gambling in the state, but voters are wary of it.  47% oppose more casinos, and 38% support them.  Democrats and Republicans mirror each other and the overall electorate, and only independents narrowly favor more gambling (43-42).

Most voters (40%) care little about redistricting procedure, but the rest who have an opinion favor a nonpartisan commission drawing the boundaries between legislative and congressional districts, with 39% supporting that and only 22% opposing it.

Among the state’s Division-1 football teams, the University of Florida claims the most fans (26% of voters), followed closely by Florida State (21%).  18% are not sure who they root for.  Miami and Central Florida each can count 11% of the state on their side, with 8% for South Florida and 3% for each Florida Atlantic and Florida International.

Tim Tebow, the Gators’ former quarterback, now starring for the Denver Broncos, is more popular than any of the state’s politicians.  59% see him favorably and only 16% unfavorably.  Republicans (71-10) see him better than independents (57-13) or Democrats (50-21).  PPP will release Tebow numbers from Colorado later in the week.

PPP surveyed 700 Florida voters from November 28th to December 1st. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.7%.  This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 Do you support or oppose the goals of the
Occupy Wall Street movement?
Support ………………………………………………….. 35%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 26%

Q2 Do you support or oppose the goals of the Tea
Party movement?
Support ………………………………………………….. 36%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%

Q3 Do you have a higher opinion of the Occupy
Wall Street movement or the Tea Party
movement?
Occupy Wall Street ………………………………….. 37%
Tea Party ……………………………………………….. 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 23%

Q4 Do you think that gay couples in Florida should
be allowed to adopt children or not?
Gay couples should be allowed to adopt
children …………………………………………………..45%
They should not ………………………………………. 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q5 If you could do the 2000 election for President
over again, would you vote for Republican
George W. Bush or Democrat Al Gore?
George W. Bush …. .45%
Al Gore………………. .48%
Not sure …………….. . 7%

Q6 Would you support or oppose a nonpartisan
redistricting commission to draw congressional
and legislative boundary lines in Florida?
Support ……………… .39%
Oppose ……………… .22%
Not sure …………….. .40%

Q7 Would you support or oppose expanded
gambling in Florida?
Support ……………… .38%
Oppose ……………… .47%
Not sure …………….. .15%

Q8 Out of the seven Florida colleges with Division
1 football teams–Central Florida University, the
University of Florida, Florida Atlantic University,
Florida International University, Florida State
University, the University of Miami, and the
University of South Florida–which is your
favorite?
Central Florida ………………………………………… 11%
Florida……………………………………………………. 26%
Florida Atlantic ………………………………………… 3%
Florida International …………………………………. 3%
Florida State …………………………………………… 21%
Miami …………………………………………………….. 11%
South Florida ………………………………………….. 8%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%

Q9 (Florida fans only) Do you approve or
disapprove of the job Will Muschamp is doing
as football coach?
Approve …………….. .24%
Disapprove…………. .28%
Not sure …………….. .48%

Q10 (Florida fans only) Do you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of Urban Meyer?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 42%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 26%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 32%

Q11 (Florida State fans only) Do you approve or
disapprove of the job Jimbo Fisher is doing as
football coach?
Approve …………….. .60%
Disapprove…………. . 5%
Not sure …………….. .35%

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tim Tebow?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 59%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 16%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 25%

Q13 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 9%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 19%
Moderate………………………………………………… 36%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 23%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 14%

Q14 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%

Q15 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 42%
Republican……………………………………………… 38%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 20%

Q16 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic…………………………………………………. 12%
White …………………………………………………….. 70%
African-American …………………………………….. 12%
Other……………………………………………………… 6%

Q17 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 45………………………………………………….. 13%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 22%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 40%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 25%

Related Polls