« Obama doing well in Virginia | Main | Gingrich, Wilson dominant in NM pres, Sen. primaries »

December 14, 2011


Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Obama 2012

The problem for the Republicans is apparent: their entire field is absolutely terrible.

I'm amazed that Obama is only at 50% on Intrade. I can't imagine how anyone can look at this GOP field and think they have any real shot at beating Obama.

Despite all of the attacks hurled by the GOP over the past three years it's clear to any sane rational person that he is far *far* more suited for the White House than any of the Republican clowns.


It's not just that the Republicans' field is terrible; it's their entire party positioning. There aren't any Republicans outside of fantasy who could make it through a primary this year without making themselves toxic for the general election. The Republican primary electorate wants someone who is completely uncompromising, who would try to eliminate abortion, who would cut major spending programs entirely, who actively rejects the science on climate change, and so on and so on.

Look at Huntsman; he's very likely the most sensible of the bunch, but he didn't even qualify for the last ABC debate because his poll numbers didn't register. He had a pretty good record as governor, he's clearly smart, didn't make any major faux pas (unless you count some flopped jokes in earlier debates), but he's considered an apostate not for his religion but because he said that he thinks people should listen to scientists, and because he cooperated with Obama in re the Ambassadorship to China.

There just isn't anyone at all, not just among those who ran, but anyone at all, who could have appealed to the far-right Republican primary electorate without sinking into seriously negative numbers among the broader populace.

The Interesting Times

I just noticed something interesting in your crosstabs: 33% of Paul voters pick Johnson as their second choice, but no Johnson voters pick Paul as their second choice--instead 24% of them go for Gingrich and 21% for Bachmann.

Could it be that there's a gap in the way Paul supporters view Johnson and the way Johnson supporters view Paul?


I would have liked to see some general election numbers with Johnson as the Libertarian in the race. That could take NM off the purple list if he pulled 4-5% of the vote.

Dustin Ingalls

Raymond, we did ask that, but obviously didn't realize it along with the primary numbers. Presidential numbers out tomorrow.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

Your Information

(Name is required. Email address will not be displayed with the comment.)

PPP POLLS BY YEAR: 2006-2017

We came to PPP after a public poll in the San Jose Mayoral race showed our opponent ahead by 8 points. They found our candidate (Sam Liccardo) ahead by 3 points and that allowed us to be able to push back with the press against the perception that our opponent was now a strong favorite in the race. Sam ended up winning by 2 points and is now the next Mayor of San Jose. PPP worked very fast and had a very accurate read on the electorate when we needed them
–Eric Jaye, Storefront Political Media.

For more information on hiring PPP for your polling needs click here

Among the Best Pollsters, Year after Year.

2014 :
Rated Most Accurate Pollster in Governor’s Races Nationally

2012 :
Correctly predicted the winner of every state in the Presidential race, and the winner of every major Senate race

2010 :
First pollster to predict Scott Brown’s upset win over Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate race, only pollster to predict Christine O’Donnell’s upset victory over Mike Castle in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.

2008 :
Ranked by the Wall Street Journal as the 2nd most accurate swing state pollster in the Presidential election.

WSJ Graphic


Public Policy Polling
2912 Highwoods Blvd., Suite 201
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888.621.6988

Questions or Comments?
Email Us




Dean Debnam Dean Debnam
Public Policy Polling CEO

PPP is best known for putting out highly accurate polling on key political races across the country, but we also do affordable private research for candidates and organizations.  Why pay tens of thousands of dollars for a survey when one of the most reliable companies in the nation can do it for less?"

Learn more about working
with PPP for your next project >


Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
RSS Feed RSS Reader