I'm happy to announce that starting Monday we'll be releasing a weekly Iowa tracking poll for the remainder of the campaign. The tentative schedule is to put out polls on:
-Monday, December 5th
-Monday, December 12th
-Monday, December 19th
-Wednesday, December 28th
-Sunday, January 1st
I think we're generally going to release these polls in the evening.
We need your help coming up with the content. Obviously we'll do horse race, second choice, and favorabilities for all of the candidates. But what questions beyond that would you like to see us ask Iowa Republicans every week for the duration of the campaign?
We'll also have polls in North Carolina and Colorado next week (Georgia cheated the vote.) We'll do all the standard Presidential stuff and the Gubernatorial race in North Carolina but what else would you like us to ask about in those states? Thanks as always for the suggestions...










In Iowa, track support for gay marriage, as well as a generic House ballot.
Posted by: Jacob | November 30, 2011 at 05:29 PM
I think it'd be a good idea to start asking campaign theme questions (i.e. change v. experience in 2008)
You could ask what primary voters see as a more important trait: private sector experience, ability to beat obama in debates, government experience, etc...
Posted by: Aaron | November 30, 2011 at 05:30 PM
From a native Iowan:
Who did they support in 2008?
How strongly does their church/religious organization influence their choice?
Posted by: Andrew | November 30, 2011 at 05:32 PM
Definitely marijuana in Colorado. Also renegotiating the Colorado River Compact. Whether Coloradans identify as Westerners, Southwesterners, or Midwesterners could be interesting.
Posted by: SaoMagnifico | November 30, 2011 at 05:35 PM
Ask if they expect Gingrich to implode the way Cain, Perry, Bachmann, and Trump did.
Maybe also ask if they think Huckabee is planning a 2016 run (and therefore hoping for Obama's reelection in 2012).
Posted by: The Interesting Times | November 30, 2011 at 05:39 PM
For Iowa, I'd be curious to see who the respondents voted for in the 2008 GOP primary, or if they didn't vote in the primary. I wouldn't be surprised to find out Romney is bleeding a lot of his 2008 support, but picking up the plurality of McCain voters.
Posted by: Michael Sadowsky | November 30, 2011 at 05:42 PM
What does the head to head look like in CD CO 6 - andrew romanoff vs Joe Miklosi. Also Who does better vs Mike Coffman
Posted by: AndySzekeres | November 30, 2011 at 06:14 PM
In Colorado:
-Definitely gay marriage/civil unions
- Joe Miklosi v. Andrew Romanoff in CD6 and who would do better against Mike Coffman
- Personhood amendment
- Medical/recreational marijuana
- Support of tax increases/repeal of TABOR
Posted by: Alex Cobell | November 30, 2011 at 06:29 PM
IA - Mormon religion favorables. Catholicism favorables. Favorables of the Northeast and the State of Pennsylvania in particular. Redistricting process favorables.
CO - Tebow favorables, obviously. Redistricting process favorables. State of California favorables. Norton vs. Udall, 2014. Buck vs. Udall, 2014. Tebow vs. Hickenlooper, 2014.
NC - Do you think it's more important for the Democratic National Convention to use local businesses or organized labor? Will North Carolina hosting the DNC affect your vote positively, negatively, not at all. Dole-Hagan rematch. Hagan-Ellmers, 2014.
Posted by: RR | November 30, 2011 at 06:39 PM
You can ask whatever you want in Colorado, but I can only implore you to adjust your voter screen. As somebody who is actively involved in Colorado politics, I actually want you guys to get it right because I want to be able to look at your poll and take it seriously. But when registered Republicans have a 5-point advantage in Colorado and you set your voter screen at D+8, nobody, and I mean nobody, is going to take that seriously.
Interestingly, you have support for Prop. 103 at 45% in your last Colorado poll. Your voter screen was D+8. The result? Only 37% support--exactly 8 points lower than where you pegged it.
Posted by: Chris | November 30, 2011 at 06:47 PM
Been a lot of reaction to Gingrich's stance on immigration after the last debate in conservative circles. I think it would be interesting to find out what voters think of that. Not sure what the best way to look at it is? Touchy topic with a lot of loaded words. Maybe read part of what he said at the last debate then gauge reaction?
Posted by: Andrew | November 30, 2011 at 07:32 PM
In Colorado, definitely poll legalizing pot and support for same-sex marriage, as usual. It would be nice to see statewide favorables for each member of Congress. A poll of Udall vs. Coffman in the 2014 Senate election, similar to what you did in WV would be nice as well. Another interesting idea would be to ask if they are a native of Colorado and to use that as a crosstab. Also, measure support or opposition for TABOR. And just for sampling purposes, who they voted for in the 2010 Senate election.
Posted by: John | November 30, 2011 at 07:48 PM
Questions both on how voters would respond to an initiative taxing, regulating, and legalizing marijuana as well as a question on whether they approve of medical marijuana in Colorado would be quite informative. Colorado is very likely to have a legalization ballot measure next November and it would be interesting to see how medical marijuana is holding it up since Colorado has become a model for many states looking at medical marijuana.
Posted by: ChristianP | November 30, 2011 at 08:16 PM
Guys, we're not going to do a congressional district, let alone a primary within it.
Chris: We don't weight for party, and it's gotten us very accurate results so far, and most people take us very seriously for it.
Posted by: Dustin Ingalls | November 30, 2011 at 08:56 PM
I agree that cannabis legalization should be polled in Colorado. As for the Iowa Republicans, perhaps you could ask about whether they see Newt as merely another flavor of the month, or whether they see a two-man race developing.
Posted by: Mark B. | November 30, 2011 at 09:53 PM
Perhaps best to poll a scenario in which Cain drops out.
Recent stories have said he's considering it.
Posted by: Rob | November 30, 2011 at 10:54 PM
Do a track on gay marriage in Iowa every week
Posted by: Michael | December 01, 2011 at 01:02 AM
Favorables on
(1) Buffett-style surtax
(2) OWS
(3) the ACA
(4) payroll tax cut extension
Posted by: Zathras | December 01, 2011 at 09:16 AM
"To reduce the deficit, what ratio of spending cuts to increased revenues would you like to see?
1:1
3:1
6:1
10:1
All cuts, no revenue"
Posted by: Ron Phillips | December 01, 2011 at 09:25 AM
I like Rob's idea of polling Iowa with and without Cain
In NC, definitely poll the marriage amendment and I think a generic state legislative ballot might be a good question there as well.
Thanks for the frequent and high quality polls.
Posted by: Andy Yates | December 01, 2011 at 09:48 AM
Iowa poll positive intensity for each candidate
NC marriage amendment
Colorado District 6 race
Posted by: Will Townsend | December 01, 2011 at 12:23 PM
Suggestions for Iowa:
- see how many Iowans oppose same-sex marriage and how many support a constitutional amendment
- see the state legislative generic ballot as the state senate is only narrowly controlled by the Dems
- rematch of McCain vs Obama in Iowa
- support for death penalty in Iowa (considering that it's one of the minority of states where it's not allowed) - would be interested to see if they would like it there
- economy improving or getting worse?
Suggestions for Colorado:
- Same-sex marriage legal/illegal tracking
- Marijuan legalization?
- Seeing it's a battleground state, should award its electoral votes by congressional district in pres. elections?
- congressional and legislative generic
- economy improving or getting worse?
Thanks for letting us give input! Must say I was sorry to see that Georgia didn't make it (don't worry I didn't cheat in my voting) but I hope they'll make it next time!
Posted by: Steve | December 01, 2011 at 01:10 PM
Given the number of states that have passed voter ID laws, and the complaints from Democrats that these laws are intended to suppress the Democratic vote, ask all voters in all states whether they have a valid driver's license. This would provide the first snapshot of the impact of these laws.
Posted by: Nick Anastasio | December 01, 2011 at 02:12 PM
Love to see Ethanol subsidies polled in Iowa. Maybe also ask about favorables for various prominent GOPers (Huck, McCain, Rudy, etc.), be interesting to know if an endorsement from any of them would help, etc. Also: a would you be satisfied with Mitt/Newt as your nominee. Love to see what % of Republicans find Mitt palatable.
Posted by: Ben Neal | December 01, 2011 at 02:17 PM
Hey you should look support FOR Children of illegal immigrants , if they support a path to citizenship for them. Legislation like the DREAM ACT.
It's something new to poll overall.
Posted by: Carlos from York, Pennsylvania | December 01, 2011 at 03:56 PM
How about doing a ND-Sen poll? Lots of chatter out of DC lately about the importance/ closeness of the race (if its Heitkamp v. Berg). And we're one of the few states you have yet to poll. What better time than now? There's a competitive primary on the Republican side to replace Berg in the House (with four or five relatively high profile candidates), and Pam Gulleson (w00t!) running for Team Blue.
Possible questions:
The UND logo kerfuffle
The prolonged/ high profile (locally, anyway) Crystal Sugar lockout
Favorability of fracking (we have the lowest unemployment in the nation, thanks mostly to the oil boom)
Posted by: Robert H. | December 01, 2011 at 04:08 PM
I'd love to see a question that asks people if their preferred candidate does not win the nomination, how likely are they to not vote for the actual nominee.
Posted by: HRP | December 01, 2011 at 05:07 PM
PPP can't poll North Dakota for the same reason they can't poll Indiana: Robopolls are illegal in both states.
To Andrew above, re Gingrich's stance on immigration: For Daily Kos's weekly poll with PPP, we're going to be asking this question:
"Do you think people who have immigrated to the United States illegally but have lived here 25 years, have paid taxes, and have obeyed the law should be deported or not? If you think they should be deported, press 1. If you think they should not, press 2. If you’re not sure, press 3."
That phrasing is pretty much taken directly from Gingrich (he had an additional line in there about attending church). I'll be very curious to see what self-identified Republicans say about this one. Anyhow, look for the results on Tuesday!
Posted by: David Nir | December 01, 2011 at 06:11 PM
Robert, we would've long ago polled ND, but we can't legally. Lobby your legislature to change the law regarding automated calling, and then we can.
Posted by: Dustin Ingalls | December 01, 2011 at 06:57 PM
I would love to see the Tim Teabow favorables in Colorado.
Posted by: Billy | December 01, 2011 at 07:33 PM
In all 3, general election horse race for:
Obama v Romney v Bloomberg
Obama v Gingrich v Bloomberg
Obama v Romney v Paul
Posted by: How Gregward | December 01, 2011 at 11:51 PM
For NC
Should Bev Perdue run for relection, or step aside for another Democrat?
In case Bev Perdue was to step aside:
Roy Cooper vs McCrory
Lt Gov Dalton McCrory
Wayne Goodwin vs McCrory
For everywhere:
Should the Bush tax cuts be allowed to expire 12/31/12?
Posted by: Todd Patton | December 02, 2011 at 09:33 AM
In Iowa, ask Republicans whether they think Mitt or Newt is more likely to beat Obama. Could also ask as two separate questions (would Mitt win general, would Newt).
Posted by: Aaron Strauss | December 02, 2011 at 01:14 PM
Poll the approval of "capitalism".
In light of: http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/republicans-being-taught-talk-occupy-wall-street-133707949.html
Posted by: Gabriel Johnson | December 02, 2011 at 03:24 PM
This might need a little consideration to make it work right, but I think an awesome question for Iowa voters would be to ask them how many different candidates they have preferred so far, then crosstab that with their current candidate preference. Then you just calculate the average number of candidates the voters for each person have preferred.
That would give us an idea of which candidates are currently receiving support from flakier/flightier voters, and which candidates tend to have a more stable group of supporters.
Posted by: Joe M | December 02, 2011 at 05:19 PM
Ask about favorables for Donald Trump, given that he's going to be moderating a debate that some candidates might skip.
Posted by: Steve | December 03, 2011 at 02:48 PM