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November 02, 2011

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Michael Carmichael

Thanks for this excellent analysis that is clearly on target. North Carolina is a swing state-battleground state. It would not be surprising for Obama to continue to be in a stalemate with Romney through most of next year or for Romney to take a lead when he clinches the nomination - until the Charlotte Convention when the situation could change. And, there are always the unknown unknowns - such as major developments in the global economy or foreign policy (war with Iran).

Ranjit

Michael,

When an incumbent is running neck to neck with the challenger, most of the time, the challenger wins. That is due to Undecided breaking for the challenger. Just remember that when 75% of people are saying that, the country is going in wrong direction, it is very hard for an incumbent to win the race. Yes, I do have bias in my views but, is anything wrong in my analysis?

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