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November 10, 2011


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Mandel lost 7 points in less than a month when nothing really happened on the Ohio political scene? Doubtful.

The 2011 Ohio electorate was just skewed left, because of the anti-SB5 initiative. Remember, you told individuals to hang up immediately if they weren't voting on Tuesday.

Turnout will be substantially better for the GOP with a presidential race at the top of the ticket.

Dustin Ingalls

Technically, the electorate we polled here was actually less Democratic than the one three weeks ago. It's just that the Democrats and Republicans who turned out were much more willing to vote for Democrats Brown and Obama than those in the registered general electorate. It all depends on turnout, so I think you're right, but if Obama and Brown manage to enthuse their base against Romney or whoever wins the GOP nomination as much as they're enthused against Kasich, we could see something more like this or at least 2008 than the tie we saw three weeks ago.

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