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October 06, 2011

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DianaRaes

"Despite his own bad numbers Obama leads the Republican candidate field"

I don't see Herman Cain's name mentioned in this article? Last I saw he was one of the top 3 contenders? Wouldn't it be a good idea to see his numbers against Obama?

RR

I am a Romney guy, so I'm happy about Perry's fall in the polls, but this is just Democratic message testing here:

"Rick Perry has stated after eating eastern
North Carolina barbecue that, ‘I’ve had road kill
that tasted better than that.’ Do you agree or
disagree with his statement?"

I'm careful never to say your topline numbers are biased against GOP candidates, but questions like these -- along with the anti-Thompson question in Wisconsin -- do your firm a disservice.

Obama 2012

I think Obama will beat any non Romney Republican regardless of his approval ratings because the rest of the GOP field is so terrible that they will turn off voters in a huge way if they are the nominee... as people learn about them ... I just don't see the US electing someone like Rick Perry or Herman Cain to the Presidency.

Romney isn't a great candidate obviously - but he's palatable enough that Obama will probably need to improve his standing somewhat to beat him.

dan higgins

I wonder how Obama would fare against Huckabee in NC?

Dustin Ingalls

"I don't see Herman Cain's name mentioned in this article? Last I saw he was one of the top 3 contenders? Wouldn't it be a good idea to see his numbers against Obama?"

We base who we poll against Obama on who was leading in our primary polling in the previous month, and Cain was way back until we did this poll this past weekend. He's only now jumping back toward the top--in fact, as we showed earlier in the week, leading in NC, NE, and WV. Obviously we couldn't have foreseen the future. Cain had been at 7% or 8%.

"I wonder how Obama would fare against Huckabee in NC?"

Check our previous polls. Click on NC in the map and scroll back to May and before.

1-20-2013

For out countries sake, comeon NC! Don't repeat this mistake again!

Sophie

What I'm rather surprised at is that even Republicans strongly disagreed with Perry's statement. Generally we see some sort of 'rally around the politician' effect, in which they support a statement or idea just because a fellow party-member said it.

Ranjit

If it is Herman Cain, the dynamics will change so much with the demographics. If he even gets 5% more blacks than McCain, Obama has no chance of winning North Carolina

Obama 2012

I can't wait to see Cain included in the general election match-ups. I'm pretty confident he'll be getting crushed. He may appeal to the far right wing "look at my black friend" Tea Party loons but to everyone else he's obviously not even close to being Presidential material.

Ken Puck

You can't beat somebody with nobody, but the Republican nominee doesn't yet have a face or a name. "Generic Republican" signifies nothing. And it's tough for any politician to win when his negatives go over 50%.

Dustin Ingalls

"I can't wait to see Cain included in the general election match-ups."

We included him for quite awhile when he had a boomlet back in the spring, and he wasn't doing well even in his home state of Georgia.

Ranjit

Obama 2012,

We are the same party who elected Bobby Jindal in Louisiana and Nikki Haley in South Carolina. Last time,I checked they are not whites ! FYI---Obama's approval in Gallup today is 38%. When an incumbent is below 50%, they are in danger zone. At this approval rate, any republican candidate will win. Presidential material & Obama?? Lol!

realnrh

Herman Cain doesn't help Republicans win black voters any more than Sarah Palin helped Republicans win female voters. Republicans think that women, minorities, and younger voters will come over to the dark side if they see some token representation, but never stop to consider that just maybe their anti-minority, anti-woman, and anti-student rhetoric and ideology have long since solidified the Republican Party's place in those demographics as 'people who want to hurt us.'

Armando

"I can't wait to see Cain included in the general election match-ups. I'm pretty confident he'll be getting crushed. "

Meh. Intrade is currently putting the probability of Obama's relection at 47.1% (http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474). Unless the economy starts growing at 7 or 8%, I wouldn't bet the farm on anybody at this point.

Obama 2012

Intrade blows with the wind.

Herman Cain is obviously not going to be President. If you can't figure that out, I don't want to say. The guy is a clown. No better than Palin.

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