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October 11, 2011

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NRH

It would be absolutely hilarious if Cain were to get the nod. Oh please, oh please! If anything can guarantee an even bigger Obama win than in 2008, it would be following McCain with Cain. (And keep your eyes peeled for ex-Palinites declaring that people only denigrate Cain because they're afraid to face him, like they claimed about Little Miss Quitter.)

Obama 2012

This race seems absolutely schizophrenic. It's unbelievable all of the candidates they are running through. How many different candidates have polled #1 at some point for the Republicans? Palin, Trump, Romney, Bachmann, Perry, and now Cain? ... oh and Huckabee. I forgot Huckabee, I remember him placing 1st in some polls before he officially dropped out. And it looked like Chris Christie could have moved into 1st place if he had entered the race.

The Republican base drive for "Anybody But Romney" seems strong... but the problem is that they have no viable alternative. Hermain Cain... I will be incredibly surprised if he actually wins the nomination. Shocked. Perry I can imagine coming back after going even more hard right...

In the end I am sticking with what I've been predicting for a long time now: Romney will end up winning the nomination by default. Basically all of the few sane Republicans left in the party will vote for him and he'll get enough of the base won over (because they'll come to the obvious conclusion he's the only guy who could possibly beat Obama) to take it.

But this race is crazy enough (and the anti-Romney sentiment strong enough) that I can imagine Perry coming back and winning it too.

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