-Joe Manchin might be one of the most popular Senators in the country, but his senior colleague Jay Rockefeller doesn't have nearly his level of support with West Virginia voters. Rockefeller's approval rating is 45%, with 42% of voters disapproving of him. Out of 87 current Senators PPP's done polls on that puts him in a tie for 60th in popularity.
Manchin and Rockefeller have pretty identical numbers with Democrats. But Rockefeller (16/73) doesn't have anywhere near as much crossover support from Republicans as Manchin (46/36). And Rockefeller lags with independents (41/53), compared to Manchin (55/28) as well.
If Republicans want to pick up a Senate seat in West Virginia it looks like they'll have a much better chance in 2014, whether Rockefeller runs again or not, than they have next year.
-A lot of the country is moving toward support for gay marriage, or at least civil unions, but not West Virginia. Only 19% of voters think gay marriage should be legal compared to 71% who think it should be illegal. Even among Democrats there's just 26% support to 61% opposed.
When you expand the discussion to civil unions 54% of voters are still against any form of legal recognition for same sex couples. The 43% who do support giving gays more rights break down 17% for whom marriage is their first choice and 26% who prefer civil unions. This is another state where independent voters (60/39) are actually more strongly in favor of increased rights for gay couples than Democrats (53/46).
-West Virginians are closely divided on their favorite major league baseball team. 27% each pick the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates with the Atlanta Braves coming in a distant third at 8% followed by the New York Yankees at 7%, the Baltimore Orioles at 4%, the Cleveland Indians at 3%, and the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals each at 2%.
There is no such division when it comes to the state's favorite NFL team. The Pittsburgh Steelers win by an overwhelming margin with 43% to the Dallas Cowboys' 9%, 7% each for the Washington Redskins and Cleveland Browns, 6% for the Cincinnati Bengals, 5% for the Indianapolis Colts, 3% for the Baltimore Ravens, and 2% for the Philadelphia Eagles.
-There is actually someone people in West Virginia like even less than Barack Obama- former Massey Energy CEO Don Blankenship. Only 13% of voters in the state have a positive opinion of him to 44% with an unfavorable one, giving him a net review of -31. That's just slightly worse than Obama's -30 approval rating at 32/62. Democrats certainly dislike Blankenship the most, rating him 8/57, but Republicans (19/26) and independents (19/37) don't think much of him either.
-Finally we polled on all the living ex-Governors of West Virginia no longer serving in public office. From most popular to least popular they are Gaston Caperton (+8 at 42/34), Bob Wise (+4 at 35/31), Arch Moore (-3 at 38/41), and Hulett Smith (-8 at 14/22). These numbers really show the extent to which Joe Manchin is in a class by himself popularity wise- no one in office past or present comes anywhere close to his popularity.
Full results here










I know it's a small sample size, but it looks really quite bizarre for the youngest age cohort to give Don Blankenship the highest approval rating. Either they didn't know who he was and just answered blindly, or they have a less negative impression of him from not having been politically active when he was doing most of his dirty work.
Posted by: realnrh | September 20, 2011 at 06:47 PM
Not surprising that Rockefeller is not popular. He never distinguishes himself as a moderate or at least very rarely. The gay marriage thing is not at all surprising. Social conservatism is one of the main things driving the state to the GOP.
Posted by: Steve | September 21, 2011 at 01:49 PM
According to this poll, 74% of people in WV are older than 45!
That compares to 36% in the US.
Or maybe the poll isn't very representative?
Posted by: Eric | September 23, 2011 at 11:04 AM
Who paid for this poll?
Posted by: Charlie West | September 23, 2011 at 03:15 PM
The reason poll respondents are so old is because West Virginia has one of the older populations, and older people are more likely to vote. The poll doesn't say 74% of West Virginians are over 45, just likely voters in West Virginia are.
As for younger people giving Blankenship higher approval, I think a lot of younger West Virginians aren't old enough to appreciate the dynamic between labor and mining companies. The older people dislike Blankenship because they grew up in a time when the UMWA was a strong force in the state and maybe hold a lower opinion of coal company brass. Younger West Virginians these days are virulently anti-union and tend to hold coal companies in very high regard. That is just my subjective observation/conjecture, but I say this as a native of southern West Virginia.
Incidentally, I think that would be an excellent poll question next time you do West Virginia: gauge people's opinions of the UMWA and organized labor in general.
Posted by: Nick | September 25, 2011 at 01:06 AM