Mike McCalister, who got 10% of the vote in the Republican primary for Governor last year, continues to lead the GOP Senate field in Florida. He's at 17% to 13% for George LeMieux, 9% for Adam Hasner, and 3% for Craig Miller with 58% of voters undecided.
That has to be seen as very good news for Bill Nelson. McCalister's chances of winning the nomination in the end are close to nothing. But the fact that he's leading is reflective of a pretty weak pool of Republican candidates and also a lack of enthusiasm for any of those folks from the GOP base. It's quite a contrast from, for instance, Massachusetts where the previously unknown (to the broader electorate) Elizabeth Warren announced her Senate bid and instantaneously shot out to greater than 50% support with primary voters.
The person these numbers are the worst for is LeMieux. He's known to 29% of primary voters, far more than 17% familiar with Hasner, 16% who know LeMieux, and 12% who have a take on Miller. You would expect that initial name recognition advantage to translate into an early lead for LeMieux but that's not the case and that doesn't bode well for him looking further down the line.
We also asked Republican primary voters in general whether they'd like Rick Scott to be their nominee for Governor again or if they'd rather swap him out for someone else. Only 53% express support for Scott with 37% saying they'd prefer to have a different candidate. Those numbers are indicative of a GOP base that still isn't healed from the bitter 2010 primary contest. Scott's numbers are particularly weak with moderate Republicans, 56% of whom say they'd replace him to just 38% who support him. Scott wouldn't lose a primary contest right now, but there are certainly a lot of Republicans who aren't ready to stand behind him.
Full results here