It's North Carolina week so we're just going to do one other state poll this week. Here are the choices:
-Colorado. We haven't polled it in six months now and that's the longest we've gone without polling any of the pivotal swing states so it's well overdue for a look.
-Hawaii. Ed Case's somewhat dubious internal poll released today that showed Mazie Hirono trailing Linda Linge when all other polling has shown Hirono up double digits has me ready to take our first look at this race since March.
-Iowa. It's been a couple months since we last polled the state and it would be good to have a 'real' poll there headed into Ames week...has Rick Perry's momentum taken enough of the shine off Michele Bachmann to put Mitt Romney back in first place there?
-South Carolina. Another one where my primary interest is to see the Perry effect- after seeing him pull ahead of Romney in the Virginia numbers we released today I wouldn't be shocked to see him in or near the lead in South Carolina too.
-West Virginia. With Kentucky looking more and more like it will not be competitive this could be the closest Gubernatorial race in the country this year. And it would be interesting to see the Joe Manchin/Shelley Moore Capito numbers after the debt ceiling debate.
Voting's open for 24 hours and then we'll take question suggestions.
You should consider polling Ohio the week after next. Lots going on. In particular the Dems announced today they may try to put the new elections law up for a vote in 2012.
Posted by: Anonymous | August 01, 2011 at 08:00 PM
CO. No-brainer.IA is probably worth a look before Ames but I wouldnt get too spastic overpolling it.WV is a good option. Interested to see Manchins numbers. Obamas approval should be positively ghastly there.HI, SC: not really interested in anything there right now. I wouldnt waste time on a trailing primary and rebutting an internal poll.
Posted by: Anonymous | August 01, 2011 at 08:00 PM
Poll marijuana + gay marriage for Colorado as theyre probably going to have ballot measures on them in 2012.
Posted by: Anonymous | August 01, 2011 at 08:00 PM
Next week could you put up Ohio as one of the choices??? I would like to get verification from Qunnipiacs recent number showing Kasich falling even more. Also, want to see if Mandel is having an impact and what Jim Jordan would be doing as a Senate candidate were he to get in.
Posted by: Anonymous | August 01, 2011 at 08:00 PM
Personally, Colorado can wait. West Virginia actually has an election this year. There is only 3 months to poll(or less) to poll the Governors race there. There is no rush to poll Colorado.
Posted by: Pat H | August 02, 2011 at 08:00 PM
You really should check on the numbers leading up to the Ames, IA, straw poll next week. Thats currently the biggest game in town.
Posted by: Anonymous | August 02, 2011 at 08:00 PM
Colorado and North Carolina will be good ones for showing how the President stands after the solution to the budget debate.Ordinarily I would suggest Kentucky because it hasnt been polled for a very long time -- but it isnt going to decide anything. CO and NC will.
Posted by: Anonymous | August 02, 2011 at 08:00 PM
Iowa...a purple-state...cmon...please?
Posted by: Anonymous | August 04, 2011 at 08:00 PM