« Mandel leading for OH Sen. nomination, Perry for Pres. | Main | Obama stronger vs. Romney with 3rd-party bids »

August 25, 2011


TrackBack URL for this entry:

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Third-party bids would help Obama:


Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.


Ron Paul or Mike Bloomberg are the most likely 3rd party candidates in the realm of possibility. Fox News will make sure Palin and Trump dont run 3rd party.


Paul or bust. Literally.

Grim Ego

Really interesting stuff. One thing to keep in mind is that these are incredibly early, speculative numbers. Any independent/third party candidate who started polling in the double digits would be a serious contender, and would definitely have the opportunity to get into debates and make their case. It could be a pretty interesting election for once.

I Am Iron Man

It would be sweet justice if a 3rd party candidate cost the Republicans 2012 (just like Nader cost Gore 2000.)

Steve M.

Unfortunately, putting Romney into this scenario as the hypothetical GOP nominee is as meaningless now as putting in Pawlenty or Huckabee. Please rerun this poll soon with Rick Perry -- otherwise it doersnt tell us much.

Dangerous Dreamer

We hear this every election season when the Dem is in trouble. I doubt there will be a third party challenge because its getting too late in the game to organize and fund a run.


@Al Pippin:I dont question the numbers you have cited as evidence that Obamas base isnt as solid as PPPs poll shows.I just question your interpretation.Both numbers could be right. How? Well, the democratic base is not so enamoured by President Obama anymore, but they are unified in their fear of a right wing republican in the White House.It cant get worse? Democrats certainly think otherwise and will vote accordingly and in big numbers.Fear is a huge motivator! And Republicans are really doing a heck of a job, playing into democrats (and independents) fears!

Al Pippin

Despite their grumbling, Democrats remain pretty united behind Obama... Oh Really?RCP currently has Obamas average approval rating index at -7.3%; representing a 10%+ drop from 5/24/11.What I find rather infomative about the Polls done by Rasmussen and AP-GFK is that they include in their polling of Obama, Strongly approve / disapprove of his job performance. In doing so it provides a reasonable measure of enthusiasm, thus voter turnout. In any event, AP-GFK (on 8/22/11) had those numbers at 19%-36% (-17%); representing a 24% drop from 5/9/11, when it was 32%-25% (+7). Rasmussens numbers (on 8/25/11)were even worse at 21%-45% (-24); representing a 14% drop from 5/25/11, when they were 25%-35% (-10). Lets face it Dustin, things arent getting any better for Obama - nor the rest of America. The CBO is now projecting the unemployment rate to remain above 8.5% through 2012. As such, Obamas approval numbers will undoubtedly continue to fall - and quite significantly so at that. Say low 30(s)% by election day.As such, Obama will most definitely lose his bid for re-election. And will do so by a record or near record margin; irrespective of who his GOP opponent ultimately is.And you say?

The Globalizer

I wouldn't mind seeing some similar polling with Perry in lieu of Romney, particularly the centrist or libertarian 3rd party matchups (Paul, Huntsman, etc.)

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

PPP POLLS BY YEAR: 2006-2013

Our Final 2012 Polls


Public Policy Polling
2912 Highwoods Blvd., Suite 201
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888.621.6988

Questions or Comments?
Email Us


NPR Public Policy Polling was profiled by NPR as “one of the most prolific polling outfits in the country.” Read more...

The Wall Street Journal ranked PPP as one of the top swing state pollsters in the country during the last Presidential election.

WSJ Graphic




Dean Debnam Dean Debnam
Public Policy Polling CEO

PPP is best known for putting out highly accurate polling on key political races across the country, but we also do affordable private research for candidates and organizations.  Why pay tens of thousands of dollars for a survey when one of the most reliable companies in the nation can do it for less?"

Learn more about working
with PPP for your next project >


Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
RSS Feed RSS Reader
Email Sign up: New Polling Data email