« In VA, Allen cruising for Sen., Bachmann, Perry strong for pres. | Main | Shumlin in strong shape for second term as VT gov »

August 03, 2011

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a0133f2dd8001970b0153911ade13970b

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Shumlin leads for reelection:

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Dustin Ingalls

I was with you, Anon, until your predictions. Those are way out of left field. If a Republican wins the White House, itll be by the skin of his or her teeth, even in a down economy. There are so many states the GOP has to win back where the president is still at least tied with Romney if not ahead, and against anyone else, itd be 300+ for him if the election were today. And there isnt much room for these guys to improve their image and, therefore, their horserace numbers. If Pawlenty and Huntsman stick around, theyre the only ones whore blank enough slates to shape how voters see them. The others are already too well known (plus Perry has little positive upside and a lot of potential negatives).

Anonymous

Agree its not 2010 anymore, and GOP govs especially have overreached. Id submit, however, that the popular Democrats elected in 2010 were generally centrists and often exceptional and likeable candidates (Hickenlooper, Kitzhaber, Abercrombie especially).The big gulf for the GOP is their right-wing governors in lean-D states. Martinez is doing a great job threading the needle (from an admittedly low post-Richardson baseline) but the rest are all overreaching beyond their electoral mandates. I tip my hat to the midwestern govs trying to roll back some of the union influence but Im not sure the region is ready for that conversation in the midst of a very difficult job market.All in all, the electorate is probably a bit lean-R overall due to the Obama effect and national issues, but it increasingly looks like the Dems will be playing a lot of defense in Senate contests (and the presidency).Handicapping it today, Id say a moderate GOP victory for president (mid-300s EVs), +5 GOP in the Senate, and a push in the House (some of the wave members wash back out, but GOP picks up on redistricting/reallocation).

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

PPP POLLS BY YEAR: 2006-2014

We came to PPP after a public poll in the San Jose Mayoral race showed our opponent ahead by 8 points. They found our candidate (Sam Liccardo) ahead by 3 points and that allowed us to be able to push back with the press against the perception that our opponent was now a strong favorite in the race. Sam ended up winning by 2 points and is now the next Mayor of San Jose. PPP worked very fast and had a very accurate read on the electorate when we needed them
–Eric Jaye, Storefront Political Media.

For more information on hiring PPP for your polling needs click here

Among the Best Pollsters, Year after Year.

2014 :
Rated Most Accurate Pollster in Governor’s Races Nationally

2012 :
Correctly predicted the winner of every state in the Presidential race, and the winner of every major Senate race

2010 :
First pollster to predict Scott Brown’s upset win over Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate race, only pollster to predict Christine O’Donnell’s upset victory over Mike Castle in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.

2008 :
Ranked by the Wall Street Journal as the 2nd most accurate swing state pollster in the Presidential election.


WSJ Graphic

CONTACT US

Public Policy Polling
2912 Highwoods Blvd., Suite 201
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888.621.6988

Questions or Comments?
Email Us

RECENT POSTS

Categories

HIRE PPP

Dean Debnam Dean Debnam
Public Policy Polling CEO

PPP is best known for putting out highly accurate polling on key political races across the country, but we also do affordable private research for candidates and organizations.  Why pay tens of thousands of dollars for a survey when one of the most reliable companies in the nation can do it for less?"

Learn more about working
with PPP for your next project >

FOLLOW US

Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
RSS Feed RSS Reader
Email Sign up: New Polling Data email