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June 10, 2011

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Dustin Ingalls

Further proof that Romney is popular in the South despite all popular opinion to the contrary.Hes actually not personally popular, either with the general electorate or primary voters. But right now, theyre voting for him. That support isnt enthusiastic, so he could be vulnerable in the primary, and you could have turnout issues in the general.

Stephen Monteith

Further proof that Romney is popular in the South despite all popular opinion to the contrary.

Anonymous

I cannot think of a single white Republican who lose to Obama in SC. Hell, SC would probably elect a mangy three legged yellow dog before it went to Obama. Why even have a poll examining the issue? I think were overanalyzing the South Carolina electorate.

I Am Iron Man

Id be pretty shocked if Obama won SC... I think two things would have to happen:(1) one of the *really* crazy GOP candidates would have to win the Republican nomination.(2) Significant economic recovery / Obamas national approval #s (Gallup) close to 60%.

Dustin Ingalls

the only reason the hypothetical match-ups are at all close for some here is that the candidates are not really well-known on the GOP sidePalin, Romney, and Gingrich are pretty universally known. Its rare to have this many candidates this well-known at this stage of the race.Although Romney leads Obama by 9 points in SC and Pwlenty only ties him, this is mostly because there are more undecideds in an Obama-Pawlenty race.True. If the undecideds were assigned proportionately with those who have decided, Pawlenty would win, but only 52-48. Thats way closer than the state has come to electing a Democratic presidential candidate since Carter actually won the state in 76.

Anonymous

Yeah, Jim, thats exactly what you want: someone right now who, although being the victim of a witch hunt by the left, is only 5 points behind according to this poll.The idea that ANY republican the candidates field is going to be weak against Obama (i.e., Palin) is a redherring and almost entirely the product ofpolls which are about as reliable 18 months out as reading the entrail of crows.If youlook at the top-five, Bachman, as a tax attorney, will skewer him on any issues pertaining to taxes; Palin may not know the facts about Paul Reveres ride chapter and verse but shell spank Obama on the relations of energy to national defense.Herman Caineand Romney ? When it comes to business smarts, theyd make Obama look as if he couldnt run a lemonade stand.And Rudy would eviscerate him on constitutional issues.Believe the polls and the Palin inquisitors if it helps you sleep at night but you just have to open your window and youll hear a strange sound: its Obama in a terminal veloicity freefall from the top of the faux Mount Olympus his adoring roadies bnuilt for him four years ago.Olympis

vp

@Anonymous@11:23Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin are not really well-known in South Carolina?

vp

@Kevin:Yeah -- I would love for Obama to win all the Atlantic, Pacific and Great Lakes states.He came pretty close in 2008, missing out only on GA, SC and AK.

Kevin

oh please let palin get the nom pleaseObama winning the entire eastern coast (including SC and Georgia) would be awesome.

Anonymous

Barack Obamas not popular in South Carolina but he could have a shot at winning the state next year anyway if Republicans nominate one of their weaker candidates.This is where the pro-Democrat bias comes in from this pollster. I believe the only reason the hypothetical match-ups are at all close for some here is that the candidates are not really well-known on the GOP side and the voters are simply not engaged yet. No way does Obama come close to winning South Carolina. The pollster knows this and I urge him to be a little more balanced in his reporting of his surveys.

Anonymous

Although Romney leads Obama by 9 points in SC and Pwlenty only ties him, this is mostly because there are more undecideds in an Obama-Pawlenty race. A lot more of these undecideds are Republicans rather than Democrats, suggesting that Pawlenty would likely win more of them in the end and carry the state IF he and Obama run equally competent campaigns.

Anonymous

More evidence that Huckabee needs to reconsider!

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