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March 08, 2011


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Ihope some idiot right-winger runs against her in the primary and she pulls a Murkowski and runs as an indy. Snowe, Collins, and Murkowski are the face of the GOP moving forward...young voters like their liberal social views and conservative fiscal views-- embrace it, GOP, or go the way of the Whigs.


Snowe wins with a fractured Tea Party vote and strong support from Governor Page. 45% should be enough.


LePage will not run against Snowe. When he was a young man, she and her husband helped him out in many ways, including getting into college. Although they are ideologically different, there is a strong personal bond and LePage has said he would not support anyone else.Under current voting rules, independents could show up to the polls and change their registrations to Republican and vote for Snowe. however, there is a bill in the Maine legislature which would do away with same day registration, so this could change.

Tom Jensen

Paul LePage said he supports Olympia Snowe. If Dean Heller had said he supported John Ensign we wouldnt have tested them against each other.


Not primary numbers for Snowe vs LePage?Why not if you poll Ensign vs Heller?I hope see something about Snowe vs LePage, if not, what a waste of time...


Anon 12:39,Actually Snowes numbers are worse if you factor in the likely voter set -- hard-right voters. They are the kind of folks who show up diligently to vote in primaries.Remember Castle/ODonnell? Same dynamic at play here, with Snowe in a much weaker position.


Those are very very weak #s for Snowe given that her primary challengers have only 5% favorability max. And yet, combined, theyre only 15 points behind her.


RC clearly knows nothing about Maine politics. Shell run and win, and as a Republican.Keep in mind this is a poll of registered (not likely) voters 18 months before the election. Making blanket statements based on misleading polls more than a year ahead of time is pretty inane.


What a gift! These idiots are basically handing Maine to the Democratic Party on a silver platter. Snowe either switches to the Democratic Party or her career is over (and if she goes to the Democratic Party she needs to be a real Democrat to have any chance of making it through that primary.)


These kind of numbers for Snowe are eerily similar to Joe Liebermans, who saw the writing on the wall and decided not to run again. Im not sure Snowe can even win as an Independent. Maine Democrats are also fed up with her.I see her retiring rather than embarass herself.


Reality check guys.Paul LePage only won (and just barely) because the independent candidate got ~37% of the vote. Two thirds of Mainers think Paul LePage is a moron.In a two way race the hard right loses badly in Maine. Snowe might lose the GOP nomination, but the tea party wont win the general. If the GOP wants Ethan Strimling to be the next Senator from Maine theyll run a TP candidate against Snowe.


Im glad you polled this one, interesting results. I posted before saying that I thought that while both Dodge and DAmboise would be low due to their low ID, as they are, byt Dodge would be ahead at first because of CPAC publicity. But DAmboise has a better profile to fit the base, and has been campaigning for a year, so it makes sense that hes ahead already. If Dodge gets out and TPX gets behind DAmboise, or if someone stronger like Carol Weston forces them both aside, I dont see how Snowe survives.


Snowe is likely to take herself out over debt ceiling, when she succumbs to her liberal core and votes to be popular.

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