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February 05, 2011


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Rather grimly apropos that a Republican in Arizona has a name that looks like Kyl. Its what they want to enable, after all.


Was your wording the same? Even if it was, Im guessing your question was interpreted as do you want someone more liberal to beat Obama and be the next nominee? People would be scared that liberal might lose. But if they could replace Obama themselves without an election the number would be higher.Have you asked Democrats whether Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?


A fair portion of the conservative Republicans in Arizona are Mormon, so it doesnt surprise me that Romney does well with conservatives there.


Romney is GOPs best bet. He would struggle in the South but will win the Northeast and the West (including CA) and win the nomination. Barring a major event that requies foreign policy expertise, he has a good chance against Obama. People may not like what I am going to say but inspite of having a lack of charisma speaking to large crowds, he has the potential to overwhelm Obama in a debate. Also, he would look a thousand times more authentic talking economy than Obama.


Did you also poll the 2012 GOP primaries in SD and CA ?If yes, when will you release them ?


Surprised you didnt comment on todays numbers compared to your April 2010 poll. Huckabee (+7), Palin (+2), Romney (-4), Gingrich (-4) Romney also showing downward trend in FL, NC, TX & other states might be a good analysis to make in a separate blog...

Tom Jensen

We asked Democrats in Wisconsin and Ohio, right after many liberals were outraged by the tax deal, if they wanted the nominee in 2012 to be Obama, someone more liberal, or someone more conservative. 7% in Ohio and 9% in Wisconsin wanted someone more liberal. Not exactly 30%.


Its a bogus question. As your poll says, 70% of the voters believe themselves as conservatives. Regardless of what they believe. Almost every politician has flaws. So youre saying they can replace Kyl with someone who perfectly aligns with their views, theyll choose the fantasy senator. Ask Democrats whether theyd replace Obama with a more progressive President if they could. Progressives have numerous complaints with Obama, so many would. That doesnt mean theyd vote for someone else instead of Obama in a primary or would prefer Obama to not run for a second term.

Dustin Ingalls

DBL: The wording was different, so the question was probably interpreted differently, but you cant necessarily say that a lot of people, when we ask questions like we did about Kyl, wouldnt also interpret that if they voted for someone other than Kyl, it may mean a lesser shot at winning the general election if that person is nominated.In our latest Kos poll, only 14% of Dems think Obama too conservative, 10% think hes too liberal, and 73% think hes about right.

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