Below is a chart looking at the favorabilities (or approvals for current office holders) of the 31 Gubernatorial candidates included on our final 18 polls. Some observations:
-The most popular candidates are Brian Sandoval, Tom Corbett, Sean Parnell, John Hickenlooper, and Eliot Cutler.
-The least popular candidates are Dan Maes, Libby Mitchell, Pat Quinn, Rick Scott, and Tom Emmer.
-The most popular candidates who are probably going to lose anyway are Cutler, Ethan Berkowitz, and Bill White.
-The least popular candidates who are probably going to win anyway or at least have a 50/50 chance are Paul LePage, Jerry Brown, and Bill Brady. Rick Scott and Tom Emmer have pretty good chances at winning despite low favorability numbers as well.
Here's the full rundown:
|
Candidate |
Favorability/Approval |
Spread |
|
Brian Sandoval |
56/33 |
+23 |
|
Tom Corbett |
51/32 |
+19 |
|
Sean Parnell |
51/35 |
+16 |
|
John Hickenlooper |
51/38 |
+13 |
|
Eliot Cutler |
46/33 |
+13 |
|
John Lynch |
51/39 |
+12 |
|
Scott Walker |
47/39 |
+8 |
|
Ethan Berkowitz |
46/39 |
+7 |
|
Bill White |
46/39 |
+7 |
|
Tom Foley |
41/38 |
+3 |
|
Alex Sink |
44/42 |
+2 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
44/43 |
+1 |
|
John Kasich |
43/42 |
+1 |
|
Rick Perry |
45/45 |
Even |
|
Dan Malloy |
39/40 |
-1 |
|
Tom Horner |
35/36 |
-1 |
|
Mark Dayton |
43/45 |
-2 |
|
Tom Barrett |
41/43 |
-2 |
|
John Stephen |
37/40 |
-3 |
|
Bill Brady |
39/45 |
-6 |
|
Jerry Brown |
42/49 |
-7 |
|
Dan Onorato |
37/45 |
-8 |
|
Ted Strickland |
41/50 |
-9 |
|
Paul LePage |
42/51 |
-9 |
|
Rory Reid |
39/51 |
-12 |
|
Meg Whitman |
38/50 |
-12 |
|
Tom Emmer |
37/51 |
-14 |
|
Rick Scott |
34/54 |
-20 |
|
Pat Quinn |
32/54 |
-22 |
|
Libby Mitchell |
31/56 |
-25 |
|
Dan Maes |
11/66 |
-55 |










Sorry, but what a disaster of polls... No-one with the winner...I never buy your numbers for IL-Gov.
Posted by: Anonymous | November 02, 2010 at 08:00 PM
And 2 in the low 30s, Pat Quinn and Rick Scott, both won!
Posted by: Jayant Reddy | November 02, 2010 at 08:00 PM