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November 01, 2010

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Al Pippin

We/PPP anticipate that Democrats will have a 6 point advantage in terms of whom comes out to vote...YOU CANNOT BE SERIOUS Tom. Or are you?That is, unless youre counting the Democrat vs Republican voter cross overs, favoring Burr by 16%.Up to that point, your commentary seemed rather reasonable - pretty much matching what most other major pollsters are reporting.Or am I missing something?Thanks.

Waldo

It must be the wife, clean out the ATM and hide the money in a shoebox vote.

The Interesting Times

I have posted my eleventh-hour predictions of tomorrows election results on my blog. I look forward to seeing how my mathematical model-based predictions fare compared to those made by the pollsters.

Anonymous

I guess the curse is finally broken. Hasnt this seat switched parties every 6 years since Jesse Helms?

wt

Dont end the cycle with this post. I think a big, bold, self-indulgent summary and prediction of races is appropriate.Thanks for all of the hard work. Im going to miss this cycle.

The Interesting Times

Christian Liberty:Republicans will increase their numbers in the House and the Senate in 2012.Im not so sure about that. 2010 seems to have blessed the Republicans with a number of easy targets. The Democrats up for reelection in 2012, by contrast, are more moderate and more popular.

Christian Liberty

Im going to miss this cycle.The partys not over. Republicans will increase their numbers in the House and the Senate in 2012. And someone else is the favorite for president in 2012. Our long national nightmare (seeing a pitiful manchild impersonating the president) will be over in two short years.

Dustin Ingalls

I guess the curse is finally broken. Hasnt this seat switched parties every 6 years since Jesse Helms?This isnt Helms seat. This is the John Edwards/Lauch Faircloth/Terry Sanford, et al, seat, and yes, it has switched parties in 1980, 1986, 1992, 1998, and 2004, and no incumbent has been re-elected to it since Sam Ervin in 1968.Or am I missing something?Yes. Among other things, reading comprehension skills.Also,yesterday I got a word from local GOP that, David Price is in serious trouble.No, hes not. Etheridge may be, though.

Ranjit

Jake,It is over. Right now the question is, What will be the margin? Is it 10 to 15% or 15 to 20%. People are paying attention to Bob etheridge and Rene Ellmers race. Also,yesterday I got a word from local GOP that, David Price is in serious trouble. Even if David price wins and if it is below 5%, democrats will have a tough day in NC

Jake

Looks like an uphill battle for Secretary Marshall. I know they sent out an e-mail on Thursday saying theyd soon be airing one last Television ad. So its full effect might not have made its way into this poll.That would be a lot of ground to try to make up, but with that and their ground game, maybe its a long shot rather than an impossibility. A recent Elon poll about the Senate said Dems 33%, GOP 33%, and 27% undecided. But their tie came from including cell phones & not restricting to likely voters.I guess tomorrow will be the poll that counts the most.

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