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October 31, 2010


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This is going to come down to Boulder & Denver.


Cpt. R: The R party machine is already drafting legislation to change the constitution so their low % wont force them to minor party status.This is not to say that Id love to see it - I would. But it will never happen.


Huh?! Actual *early voting figures* from just Friday show Republicans with about a 6% advantage in CO early voting. And your own poll shows both candidates holding their own partys vote. Something doesnt add up here...Statistics 101 - the subset of early voters is much smaller, much larger margin of error. Not sure why pollsters tout these smaller subset numbers, can only only be a source of potential embarrassment.


No. The pollster are not picking up on the size of the wave clearing. In Oregon as of friday republicans where up by 3% in ballots return.


One thing interesting to note within the results is that with respondents who say theyve already voted- accounting for 66% of the sample- Bennet is actually ahead by a 52-46 margin. Huh?! Actual *early voting figures* from just Friday show Republicans with about a 6% advantage in CO early voting. And your own poll shows both candidates holding their own partys vote. Something doesnt add up here...


Is there any inconsistency with CO early voting numbers that makes you skeptical of the sample.1. More Republicans have voted early than Dems in Colorado early voting.2. Buck is unifying 86% of his party.3. Indies are breaking 50-46 for Buck.But Bennet is winning 52-46 among early voters. Is that because the 14% of Republicans and 46% of Indies for Bennet are disproportionately the ones doing the early voting? It seems unlikely that they would be concentrated like that, much less enthusiastic enough to all vote early.

Cpt. Robespierre

The big thing to watch in the Gov race is whether Maes can get at least 10%. If not, the state GOP goes to the bottom of the ballot through November 2014 as a minor party.

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