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September 15, 2010

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DBL

Oh yeah. I get that. Because when franchise taxes on outside corporations incorporated in Delaware supply about one-fifth of the state revenue you have a problem with people outside pouring money into the state.

LAE Cripps [SL: Profesora Farigoule]

what those outside delaware have to realize is the intense dislike of many moderates here of all political affiliations of having our local politics co-opted by big-money PACs with outside agendas. ODonnells will struggle against the association with all her outside endorsements in the general election

Robet

Old poll. This needs to be re-polled as so much has changed in 3-4 days.

Dustin Ingalls

My response: Obviously she has a very dedicated fan base but web contributions dont predict victory or else we would have President Howard Dean, who had a very dedicated activist base on the left.Likewise, a President Ron Paul.Your poll means nothing now - it was taken before yesterdays vote. Nice try, though.Polls are only ever a snapshot in time. But these are more reflective of the real state of the race than Rasmussens frequent one-day post-primary polls that invariably show a huge surge for the Republican candidates that then dies down when the coverage of their primary win fades.

PackMan97

So, Obama says dont turn the car keys over to the guys that drove the car into the ditch.Looks like Republicans were listening.This isnt about electing the best candidate in many races. Its about not rewarding the Republicans for their craptastic 8 years under Bush.Its not all about Obama. Its also about the guys that ran the country into a ditch and made such a mess that resulted in Obama being elected.

Anna

PPP surveyed 958 likely Delaware voters on September 11th and 12th. The margin oferror is +/-3.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, mayintroduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.Your poll means nothing now - it was taken before yesterdays vote. Nice try, though.

Chuck T

Christian Liberty said: Support and contributions are pouring into ODonnell so fast the website crashed. Those who think the Delaware race will be solid blue are delusional.My response: Obviously she has a very dedicated fan base but web contributions dont predict victory or else we would have President Howard Dean, who had a very dedicated activist base on the left.

Ranjit

Folks,As we are having this discussion, Christine O Donnell has crossed 2 revised targets. First it was 50K, then 200K and now she is going for 350K. This is all in the last 15 hours. There is no way, these poll numbers will hold up. Just give 2 weeks and see the new polls at the start of october

DBL

For Christine ODonnell to win she must get 88% of all Republican votes. This includes RINOs who conservatives are saying are really Democrats who dont belong in the Republican Party. Shed have to get 12% of all Democrats. Then shed have to get 67% of all independents, winning them 2 to 1. No Republican is polling anywhere close to that with independents.

Anonymous

As a conservative I would rather have a Democrat in the Senate voting like a Democrat than a Republican voting like a Democrat. If it talks like a duck, if it acts like a duck, if it looks like a duck, well...you know the rest.

Christian Liberty

Support and contributions are pouring into ODonnell so fast the website crashed. Those who think the Delaware race will be solid blue are delusional.First post-primary poll, ODonnell would be within single digits, withing 5 or 6 by month-end, within the margin of error by the end of October. The race will be a tossup soon enough.

techster5

Those that call themselves republicans and still choose to support coons over odonnel are traitors in the very least.

Anonymous

Itll interesting to see what the final margin is - my bet is itll be less than the 16% from this poll. How *much* less will really tell the tale about what happens on Election Night on Nov. 2...

Anonymous

That poll was taken BEFORE she won so its invalid........

Anonymous

This is one of the most self-serving articles I have ever read. First off PPP trumpets the fact that 49% of the people polled believe Ms ODonnell is unfit to hold office without noting that they FAILED to ask that same question about Mr. Coons. A more telling fact, again without comment from PPP, is that their poll revealed that 70 % of those polled were unfavorable or unsure of BOTH Coons and ODonnell. I have no way of knowing what the voters in Delaware will decide but PPPs poll tells us nothing, other then that PPP is trying to influence the outcome.

Dustin Ingalls

ODonnell clearly beat Castle, how in your wildest dreams does this make Coons now the front runner?I dont know. Maybe because thats how people are intending to vote?

NRH

ODonnell supporters who think she can repeat her comeback in the general are forgetting one very important detail: everyone gets to vote in the general election, not just registered Republicans. When a Democrat holds his base in a Democratic state and picks up a quarter of the Republican vote (those who acknowledge that ODonnell is too nutty to support - believing she literally has enemies hiding in her bushes, etc), thats an easy Democratic win.

Ranjit

Dustin,Do you think the numbers will change after all the publicity and huge cash that is flowing into her account? Do you think,lot of independents will have more sympathy with all the mudsling on her?

AG

All you ODonnell supporters have blinders on. Take a good look at the Republicans in Congress. Summary opposition to every single item on the Democratic agenda. 400 day long filibusters of Obama appointees who get confirmed without vocal opposition.Castle as a liberal is a notion so ridiculous as to be obscene. Dont you dare try to convince me he would have voted any differently than ODonnell.

wt

Yesterday Odonnell was down 25 pts. Now it is just 16 pts. She has made up 9 pts in about 12 hours. That is the big MO! By next week she should be in the lead!You misread the PPP preview. The difference between ODonnell and Castle was 26 points, i.e. a Castle lead by 10 and a Coons lead of 16.I know youre a Castle guy, but I dont think PPP putting out actual numbers would have changed the game this late or at any time.I know. Im just frustrated and lashing out. You had the balls do to the polling in the first place and deserve a lot of credit for these high risk, high reward polls.

JT @ Google

This is liberal media bias at its best to indicate to the people that Coons is going to win in November. Lets look at this realistically Castle was clearly beating Coons by double digits. ODonnell clearly beat Castle, how in your wildest dreams does this make Coons now the front runner? If the Republicans either back Coons or no one and do not back ODonnell they should disband and go home now.

kfd211

NRSC Chairman John Cornyn, Republican Senator from Texas, just released a statement announcing the committee’s support: Let there be no mistake: The National Republican Senatorial Committee – and I personally as the committee’s chairman – strongly stand by all of our Republican nominees, including Christine O’Donnell in Delaware. I reached out to Christine this morning, and as I have conveyed to all of our nominees,...

Dustin Ingalls

Thanks for sitting on these numbers guys. Ugh.I know youre a Castle guy, but I dont think PPP putting out actual numbers would have changed the game this late or at any time. Pollsters just arent that powerful. The fervor for ODonnell was too strong. Besides, it makes little difference whether you know Coons gets exactly 50% against ODonnell and only 35% against Castle because we spelled out the huge difference in electability in several blog and Twitter posts leading up to the vote. And those differences were covered in the media.An August Daily Kos/PPP poll? Wow! The LAST word in impartial opinion pollsWE conducted the poll for them, using the same methodology as all of our public polls we report on this blog which have proven to be so accurate.Yesterday Odonnell was down 25 pts. Now it is just 16 pts. She has made up 9 pts in about 12 hours. That is the big MO! By next week she should be in the lead!Nice satire.I think you spoke a little too soon, NRSC announced today they would donate the maximum amount allowable, $42,000 to ODonnells campaign.Money down the drain, but its only symbolic so they dont p off the Tea Partiers anymore than they already have. There will be no RNC independent expenditures in DE from here on out.

datechguy

Well if the election is held today Republicans are in big trouble.Oh How about that the election isnt held today. That doesnt make this poll false, it makes it a snapshot of a moment in time.What were obamas approval ratings in Jan 2009? Jan 2010

Anonymous

wt said At least the NRSC wont be tempted to spend money here, and can devote the same resources it had planned to on other races. I think you spoke a little too soon, NRSC announced today they would donate the maximum amount allowable, $42,000 to ODonnells campaign.

Chuck T

Anonymous said... Really a poll by the kooks at Daily Kooks is what you are going with.....Did you notice that a poll by the kooks also got this primary right? and showed Castle was in trouble. I didnt see Rasmussen doing any recent polling, but thats how they operate over there. Instead they will poll the vitally important Senate race in VT or the cliff hanger race for Gov of North Dakota! Its because Rasmussen doesnt want to go out on the limb--where PPP does poll the critical races just before the primaries and you know what? their track record has been pretty darn good this year.

Chuck T

The interesting thing is that even if Castle had won, Coons was gaining and Castle was under 50% and the question would have been then would the tea partiers who supported ODonnell work and or vote for Castle--I think Coons could have been competitve with Castle too, but now he is (almost) a sure thing.

Anonymous

Obviously you, the NRSC, and public bashing Carl Roves of the world just dont get it. America was promised change - Washington wont give it, the parties wont give it, the men wont give. Its time for the women to get it right.

Anonymous

Yesterday Odonnell was down 25 pts. Now it is just 16 pts. She has made up 9 pts in about 12 hours. That is the big MO! By next week she should be in the lead!

Anonymous

If the GOP would just let democrats take credit for democrat ideas then we would all win in the long run. But no, we have been stuck on short term Karl Rove style thinking for far too long. The DNC and GOP are playing it as a team sports while the voters are playing to better the country. Sure they may vote Coons this time. But they will know next time. Id rather have that than a Castle who will vote the same as Coons such that it smears all conservatives. If we keep voting for the lesser evil then we keep trending toward evil and nobody learns until it is too late.

DBL

In 2008 the Delaware electorate favored Democrats 48%-31%. Tom has the breakdown this year as Democrats 47%-38%. For ODonnell to win 25,000 Republicans need to move to Delaware and register to vote by October 9. So get a move on. Quit the job. Pack up the car. Move to Wilmington.

Anonymous

I would rather have a democrat than another Rep in name only like Castle. If the committee doesnt try to help ODonnell win, I will never give another dollar to the Republican party. This country needs conservatives, not more moderates. Let the dems keep power until they screw things up so bad they will never get elected again.

Anonymous

Well, the ODonnell supporters said better to have a Democrat than Castle, so thats what theyll get I suppose.Whats the difference???????? Castle votes like a donkey as it is.

Anonymous

An August Daily Kos/PPP poll? Wow! The LAST word in impartial opinion polls. I really am glad we have Liberals in this country, even though Liberals with integrity such as the late Daniel Patrick Moynihan seem to be increasingly rare. But a legitimate, unbiased poll from Daily Kos? Anyone who believes that is waiting somewhere in the desert for their ride in a UFO.

ALICE'S ANGLE

I hope you are wrong about Christine ODonnell. I hope she wins for WE THE PEOPLE. I know she will vote my values and beliefs. I know I wont be represented by Chris Coons. Just start with the Abortion (unborn baby) issue. I dont think Abortion has worked for our country - it has encouraged irresponsibility and sexual crime cover-ups. CHRISTINE HAS MY VOTE!

rebekahhuang

She might not win that is yet to be seen. What we do know is that the people of Delaware held an election and she won the Republican primary for the state of Delaware.If the Republican party then rejects the will of the people of Delaware then it isnt Ms. ODonnell that will lose in Nov it will be the Republican party when they prove that they arent in Washington to represent the people but, rather their own position and power.

Anonymous

Really a poll by the kooks at Daily Kooks is what you are going with.....And she was supposed to lose to Castle as well, maybe the Reb. Party will start to pay attention that RINOS have to go, we dont want and or need them anymore.

Anonymous

Well we will see wont we. I know it is Delaware...but even those people can realize that electing a guy to the left of obowma as Coons is would be beyond stupid. As the facts about where Coons stands on issues comes out...watch out!

wt

Thanks for sitting on these numbers guys. Ugh.Well, the ODonnell supporters said better to have a Democrat than Castle, so thats what theyll get I suppose.At least the NRSC wont be tempted to spend money here, and can devote the same resources it had planned to on other races.

Tom Jensen

We asked if Castle was fit on that very same poll

kalojohn

Have you ever conducted a poll analyzing the fitness of a male candidate? Please post list. Alvin Greene?

kalojohn

Have you run a poll asking if a male candidate was fit for the office they were running for? Seriously, provide list please.

tncdel

Castle as well was leading O Donnell in the polls. And she trounced him. I expect her to do the same with Coons.I live in New Castle County. Take it from me, not many of us here have a high regard for Coons. As county exec, he was INEPT, to put it kindly.And we still begrudge him for being the first in many years to raise our property taxes.We also dont forget his ties to the Freeberry / Gordon corruption, that he helped cover up, in return for the county exec job.Harry Reid calls Coons his pet. Reid is the poster child for whats wrong with Congress. For example, the overwhelming majority of voters are opposed to illegal aliens. But Reid not only wants to give them amnesty, but also even wants to give them the Dream Act to go to college! Thats insane PC madness. Over 20 million illegals here in the U.S. already, and Reid wants to encourage them to invite all their extended family members and job-stealing amigos to come here too ... as they will certainly do if we dont stop Reids amnesty and Dream Act treachery from being passed.And NO we dont want Reids trained pet Coons rubber-stamping whatever Reid tries to slip past us voters!

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